Match Info

POLAND: Ekstraklasa - Round 23

Date: 1 March 2025, Saturday

Location: Stadion Miejski przy Solskiego 1 w Mielcu (Mielec)

Referee: Gryckiewicz P. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	Arena Sport 7, MAXtv To Go
Finland	Veikkaus TV
Montenegro	Arena Sport 9
Poland	CANAL+ Sport 3, Canal+ Sport Online, Ekstraklasa TV
Serbia	Arena Sport 9
Ukraine	Kyivstar TV


	Stal Mielec		Korona Kielce

	1	X	2
	2.3	3	3.5	Watch
	2.23	2.9	3.2	Watch
	2.31	3.21	3.49
	2.26	3.2	3.38	Watch
	2.25	3.1	3.1
	2.19	3.34	3.24	Watch
	2.23	2.9	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.25 ↑ (2.02)	3.09 ↓ (3.1)	3.3 ↓ (3.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stal Mielec
41.5%

Draw
30.2%

Korona Kielce
28.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.9%

29.9%

24.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stal Mielec has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

Korona Kielce has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	50%	0%

Stal Mielec - Korona Kielce Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Stal Mielec will win (votes: 3 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
39. Madrzyk J. (G) 27. Jaunzems A. 3. Esselink B. 15. Senger M. 96. Dadok R. 10. Domanski M. 6. Guillaumier M. 23. Getinger K. (C) 92. Kadzior D. 25. Wolsztynski L. 11. Wolkowicz K.	87. Mamla R. (G) 44. Sotiriou K. 24. Smolarczyk B. 66. Trojak M. (C) 37. Zwozny H. 8. Remacle M. 11. Nono 19. Konstantyn J. 71. Dlugosz W. 20. Dalmau A. 17. Fornalczyk M.
Substitutes
9. Assayag R. 7. Beauguel J. 33. Bukowski A. 26. Hannola P. 13. Jalocha K. (G) 21. Matras M. 4. Pajnowski K. 19. Tkacz D. 77. Zieba D.	1. Dziekonski X. (G) 28. Godinho M. 88. Kaminski W. 10. Nagamatsu S. 27. Pedro N. 6. Pieczek M. 5. Resta P. 9. Shikavka Y. 13. Strzeboński M.
Coaches
Niedzwiedz J.	Zielinski J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
28', Smolarczyk B. 🟨,
34', Kadzior D. 🟨,
38', Fornalczyk M. 🟨,
38', Jaunzems A. 🟨,
38', Getinger K. 🟨,
41', Nono 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
61', Wolsztynski L. ↓, Beauguel J. ↑,
65', Zwozny H. ↓, Godinho M. ↑,
65', Nono ↓, Strzeboński M. ↑,
75', Konstantyn J. ↓, Pieczek M. ↑,
75', Dlugosz W. ↓, Pedro N. ↑,
79', Dalmau A. ↓, Shikavka Y. ↑,
80', Guillaumier M. ↓, Hannola P. ↑,
80', Wolkowicz K. ↓, Assayag R. ↑,
80', Esselink B. 🟨,
84', 0 - 1, Fornalczyk M. ⚽,
87', Jaunzems A. ↓, Matras M. ↑,

Preview

You will have a great opportunity to watch a game between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 14 and 12).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Stal Mielec won 1.

Recent matches Korona is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Stal Mielec could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Stal Mielec will have a mini benefit in this match.

There will not play in Stal Mielec: Ehmann M. (Knee Injury) Knap K. (Injury) Wlazlo P. (Red Card)

There will not play in Korona: Malarczyk P. (Injury) Zator D. (Injury)

Last 10 head-to-head matches Stal Mielec won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 15:11 (average 1.5:1.1).

Including matches at home between the teams Stal Mielec won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 11:5 (average 2.2:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stal Mielec
Polish Ekstraklasa
21.02.25	Piast Gliwice - Stal Mielec	2:2 ✺
16.02.25	Stal Mielec - Pogoń Szczecin	1:2 ✺
07.02.25	Stal Mielec - Jagiellonia Białystok	2:1 ✺
31.01.25	GKS Katowice - Stal Mielec	1:0 ✺
07.12.24	Widzew Łódź - Stal Mielec	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 TLWLL
- Korona Kielce
Polish Cup
25.02.25	Ruch Chorzów - Korona Kielce	2:0 ✺
Polish Ekstraklasa
22.02.25	Korona Kielce - Śląsk Wrocław	2:0 ✺
14.02.25	Cracovia - Korona Kielce	1:1 ✺
09.02.25	Korona Kielce - Motor Lublin	1:0 ✺
02.02.25	Legia Warsaw - Korona Kielce	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.4 LWTWT

Latest Head to Head

Polish Cup
25.09.24	Korona Kielce - Stal Mielec	2:1 penalties
Polish Ekstraklasa
26.08.24	Korona Kielce - Stal Mielec	2:1
06.04.24	Korona Kielce - Stal Mielec	1:0
29.09.23	Stal Mielec - Korona Kielce	2:3
30.04.23	Stal Mielec - Korona Kielce	2:1
14.10.22	Korona Kielce - Stal Mielec	0:2
Club Friendly
01.07.22	Stal Mielec - Korona Kielce	2:0

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