Match Info

Division 1 - Round 10

Date: 12 October 2026, Monday

Location: Stadion Miejski w Rzeszowie (Rzeszow)

Referee: Pskit P. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	sport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app, TVP Sport


	Stal Rzeszów		Lechia Gdańsk

	1	X	2
	2.5	3.4	2.4
	2.65	3.60	2.25
	2.55	3.45	2.4
	2.64	3.9	2.5
	2.86	3.81	2.21	Watch
	2.55	3.85	2.4
	2.6	3.53	2.5
	2.55	3.5	2.37
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.61 ↓ (2.94)	3.63 ↓ (3.82)	2.38 ↑ (2.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stal Rzeszów
35.5%

Draw
25.5%

Lechia Gdańsk
39%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.8%

24.5%

43.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.3%

24.1%

43%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stal Rzeszów has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

Lechia Gdańsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stal Rzeszów than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lechia Gdańsk than the current prediction. (+4%)

Stal Rzeszów - Lechia Gdańsk Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (1.50) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

New Consensus by Tipsters:

BTTS - yes (1.50) (votes: 100%) ⭐ Best Value.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
88. Koziol M. (G) 21. Thiede M. 39. Kaczor M. 3. Krasovskiy V. 77. Kukulka K. 17. Madej O. 8. Goss S. 66. Leniart M. 27. Rittmuller M. 15. Pukala S. 76. Salamon S.	1. Holewinski A. (G) 19. Kopasek S. 4. Lopata K. 21. Beskorovaynyi D. 3. Malov D. 33. Wojtowicz T. 6. Ivanov H. 99. Neugebauer T. (C) 7. Dodaj K. 97. Blanuta V. 13. Shakh A.
Substitutes
16. Brzek W. 44. Buksa A. 29. Listkowski M. 2. Machura W. 11. Masiak K. 10. Naifi A. 1. Vanivskyi S. (G) 40. Wisniowski E. 41. Zieja D.	8. Adkonis J. 17. Bambecki I. 9. Glogowski M. 20. Hovhannisyan N. 40. Madej W. 30. Mena J. 88. Szczepankiewicz B. 22. Weirauch S. (G) 23. Ziolkowski A.
Coaches
Zub M.	Lupashko V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
7', Kopasek S. 🟨,
13', Malov D. 🟨,
30', Dodaj K. 🟨,
31', Goss S. (Penalty Awarded),
37', 0 - 1, Blanuta V. ⚽, Shakh A. (A),
40', Neugebauer T. (Penalty Awarded),
41', 0 - 2, Beskorovaynyi D. ⚽, Malov D. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Madej O. ↓, Naifi A. ↑,
46', Salamon S. ↓, Buksa A. ↑,
65', Leniart M. ↓, Brzek W. ↑,
65', Pukala S. ↓, Listkowski M. ↑,
65', Buksa A. 🟨,
71', Shakh A. ↓, Mena J. ↑,
71', Dodaj K. ↓, Hovhannisyan N. ↑,
77', 1 - 2, Buksa A. ⚽, Goss S. (A),
80', Blanuta V. ↓, Glogowski M. ↑,
83', Kaczor M. 🟨,
90+1', Wojtowicz T. ↓, Adkonis J. ↑,
90+1', Neugebauer T. ↓, Szczepankiewicz B. ↑,

Preview

Two mid-table squads battle for vital points to solidify their season (ranked 8th and 9th).

Stal Rzeszów has enjoyed a winning run and is in top form (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Lechia is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Stal Rzeszów has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 5:4 (averaging 2.5:2 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Stal Rzeszów against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 4:2 goals.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	S. Rzeszow	9	4	2	3	10:15	-5	14
9	Lechia Gdansk	9	4	1	4	17:15	2	13

Last Results with these Odds

Stal Rzeszów - the odds 2.94 are the expected chance of winning is 31.84%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.

Lechia Gdańsk - the odds 2.14 are the expected chance of winning is 43.68%, but this team recently wins 75% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stal Rzeszów
Club Friendly
02.10.26	Karviná - Stal Rzeszów	1:1 ✺
Polish Division 1
19.09.26	Miedź Legnica - Stal Rzeszów	2:3 ✺
13.09.26	Odra Opole - Stal Rzeszów	0:1 ✺
05.09.26	Stal Rzeszów - Polonia Warsaw	2:1 ✺
Polish Cup
01.09.26	Stal Rzeszów - Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 28.9 TWWWW
- Lechia Gdańsk
Club Friendly
03.10.26	Ruch Chorzów - Lechia Gdańsk	1:3 ✺
Polish Division 1
19.09.26	Lechia Gdańsk - Stal Mielec	7:1 ✺
13.09.26	Lechia Gdańsk - Miedź Legnica	2:1 ✺
04.09.26	Termalica Nieciecza - Lechia Gdańsk	2:1 ✺
Polish Cup
01.09.26	Kluczbork - Lechia Gdańsk	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 1
27.04.24	Stal Rzeszów - Lechia Gdańsk	4:2
28.10.23	Lechia Gdańsk - Stal Rzeszów	2:1

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