The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Ruch Chorzów 36.1%
Draw 24.9%
Lechia Gdańsk 39.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
36.6%
24.6%
38.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
36.7%
24.7%
38.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ruch Chorzów has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)
Lechia Gdańsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ruch Chorzów than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lechia Gdańsk than the current prediction. (-0.4%)
Ruch Chorzów - Lechia Gdańsk Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 2)
5', 0 - 1, Glogowski M. ⚽,
6', 0 - 2, Adkonis J. ⚽,
23', Nagamatsu S. 🟨,
25', 1 - 2, ⚽,
31', Mavraj I. ↓, Madej W. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
55', 🟨,
56', 1 - 3, Neugebauer T. ⚽,
63', del Moral A. 🟨,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ruch Chorzów won 2.
Ruch Chorzów has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Lechia shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Lechia may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
In the last 15 head-to-head meetings, Ruch Chorzów has recorded 4 wins, 6 draws, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 20:23 (averaging 1.3:1.5 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Ruch Chorzów against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses, with 11:10 goals (averaging 1.2:1.1 per game).
Last Results with these Odds
Ruch Chorzów - the odds 2.54 are the expected chance of winning is 36.65%, but this team recently wins 17% of matches with these odds.
Lechia Gdańsk - the odds 2.4 are the expected chance of winning is 38.79%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.
Watch
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