Match Info

Division 2 - Round 17

Date: 14 November 2025, Friday

Location: Stadion Stali Stalowa Wola (Stalowa Wola)

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	sport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app


	Stal Stalowa Wola		Hutnik

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.6	3.55
	1.78	3.77	4.04
	1.72	4.07	3.98	Watch
	1.82	3.58	3.67	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 ↑ (1.7)	3.76 ↓ (3.88)	3.81 ↓ (3.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stal Stalowa Wola
51.5%

Draw
24.4%

Hutnik
24.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.3%

23.4%

23.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.9%

22.7%

22.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stal Stalowa Wola has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Hutnik has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stal Stalowa Wola than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hutnik than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
70%	0%	30%

Stal Stalowa Wola - Hutnik Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Stal Stalowa Wola will win (votes: 7 - 70%). Hutnik will win (votes: 3 - 30%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Stal Stalowa Wola: 41.6% – 98.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Stal Stalowa Wola (votes: 2 - 50%). Hutnik (votes: 2 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Hutnik (1.89) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Stal Stalowa Wola (votes: 2 - 40%). Hutnik (votes: 3 - 60%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
53. Stepak J. (G) 4. Furtak L. (C) 10. Hebel M. 77. Kendzia J. 2. Kukulowicz B. 20. Niedbala J. 7. Radecki M. 18. Surzyn M. 19. Wolny D. 11. Zaucha P. 6. Zemlo P.	12. Hoyo-Kowalski D. (G) 5. Burka D. 13. Gandziarowski M. 3. Holuj F. 45. Hoyo-Kowalski D. 8. Jopek S. 76. Kielis P. 77. Prusinski K. 10. Sowinski M. 21. Szablowski K. 6. Urbanczyk M.
Substitutes
43. Fedejko I. 23. Getinger K. 8. Hrnciar L. 9. Lacki D. 16. Lelek K. 73. Radomski K. 33. Smylek M. (G) 13. Svec J. 44. Tyburczy M.	16. Bil S. 14. Bracik K. 47. Galek I. 96. Guerrier W. 79. Kopyscianski K. 37. Motrycz A. 1. Nowak W. (G) 19. Rzepka K. 9. Sliwa D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
1', 🟨,
2', 1 - 0, Wolny D. ⚽,
29', 🟨,
31', Kukulowicz B. 🟨,
34', 1 - 1, Jopek S. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
50', 1 - 2, Szablowski K. ⚽,
62', 2 - 2, Wolny D. ⚽,
63', Niedbala J. ↓, Hrnciar L. ↑,
63', Surzyn M. ↓, Lelek K. ↑,
64', Radecki M. 🟨,
67', 🟨,
72', Zaucha P. ↓, Getinger K. ↑,
72', Szablowski K. ↓, Guerrier W. ↑,
72', 🟨,
79', Kendzia J. ↓, Lacki D. ↑,
79', Wolny D. ↓, Svec J. ↑,
80', Kielis P. ↓, Bracik K. ↑,
82', Svec J. 🟨,

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 15 in the zone Relegation).

In recent matches, Stal Stalowa Wola has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Hutnik is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Stal Stalowa Wola is seen as the favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Stal Stalowa Wola won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).

Including home match between the teams, Stal Stalowa Wola won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Stal Stalowa Wola
Polish Division 2
08.11.25	GKS Jastrzębie - Stal Stalowa Wola	1:5 ✺
31.10.25	Stal Stalowa Wola - Resovia Rzeszów	1:1 ✺
26.10.25	Sokół Kleczew - Stal Stalowa Wola	1:1 ✺
19.10.25	Stal Stalowa Wola - Zagłębie Sosnowiec	2:0 ✺
12.10.25	Rekord Bielsko-Biała - Stal Stalowa Wola	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WTTWL
- Hutnik Kraków
Polish Division 2
09.11.25	Hutnik - Olimpia Grudziądz	2:2 ✺
02.11.25	Podhale Nowy Targ - Hutnik	1:0 ✺
Polish Cup
29.10.25	Hutnik - Wisła Kraków	0:1 ✺
Polish Division 2
25.10.25	Hutnik - Zagłębie Sosnowiec	0:0 ✺
22.10.25	Chojniczanka Chojnice - Hutnik	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 TLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 2
24.03.24	Hutnik - Stal Stalowa Wola	1:1
10.09.23	Stal Stalowa Wola - Hutnik	2:1

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