Match Info

Division 2 - Round 16

Date: 9 November 2025, Sunday

Location: Stadion Suche Stawy (Kraków)

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	sport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app


	Hutnik		Olimpia Grudziądz

	1	X	2
	2.98	3.25	2.15	Watch
	2.8	3.25	2.46
	2.70	3.65	2.31	Watch
	2.78	3.5	2.37	Watch
	2.6	3.5	2.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.77 ↓ (2.84)	3.43 ↑ (3.16)	2.3 ↑ (2.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hutnik
33.2%

Draw
26.8%

Olimpia Grudziądz
40%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.5%

28.3%

40.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.8%

27.7%

41.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hutnik has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Olimpia Grudziądz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hutnik than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Olimpia Grudziądz than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Hutnik - Olimpia Grudziądz Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Hoyo-Kowalski D. (G) 5. Burka D. 13. Gandziarowski M. 3. Holuj F. 45. Hoyo-Kowalski D. 8. Jopek S. 76. Kielis P. 77. Prusinski K. 10. Sowinski M. 21. Szablowski K. 6. Urbanczyk M.	71. Sobolewski S. (G) 10. Cichon K. 5. Czajka B. 16. Fietz K. 44. Frelek D. (C) 7. Kaczmarek T. 77. Kobryn R. 9. Mas M. 69. Pawlowski M. 26. Sewerzynski O. 93. Tsyupa I.
Substitutes
16. Bil S. 47. Galek I. 96. Guerrier W. 79. Kopyscianski K. 37. Motrycz A. 1. Nowak W. (G) 19. Rzepka K. 9. Sliwa D.	31. Hallmann A. (G) 3. Klimczak A. . Koncewicz-Zylka P. 72. Koperski F. . Krocz S. 13. Moneta L. 70. Nowacki F. 17. Siemaszko A. 42. Zablonski P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
23', Urbanczyk M. 🟨,
29', Sewerzynski O. 🟨,
31', 1 - 0, Szablowski K. ⚽,
44', 1 - 1, Mas M. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
47', Tsyupa I. 🟨,
56', 2 - 1, Urbanczyk M. ⚽,
65', Kaczmarek T. ↓, Moneta L. ↑,
65', Frelek D. ↓, Koperski F. ↑,
68', 2 - 2, Cichon K. ⚽,
70', Szablowski K. ↓, Rzepka K. ↑,
82', Tsyupa I. ↓, Klimczak A. ↑,
84', Kielis P. ↓, Guerrier W. ↑,
90', Cichon K. 🟨,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hutnik won 1.

Hutnik is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).

In recent matches, Olimpia has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Hutnik won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:11. (average 1.6:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Hutnik won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:6. (average 1:1.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Hutnik - the odds 2.84 are the expected chance of winning is 31.47%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hutnik Kraków
Polish Division 2
02.11.25	Podhale Nowy Targ - Hutnik	1:0 ✺
Polish Cup
29.10.25	Hutnik - Wisła Kraków	0:1 ✺
Polish Division 2
25.10.25	Hutnik - Zagłębie Sosnowiec	0:0 ✺
22.10.25	Chojniczanka Chojnice - Hutnik	2:1 ✺
17.10.25	Warta Poznań - Hutnik	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LLTLL
- Olimpia Grudziądz
Polish Division 2
02.11.25	Olimpia Grudziądz - Sandecja Nowy Sącz	1:0 ✺
Polish Cup
28.10.25	Olimpia Grudziądz - Śląsk Wrocław	0:1 ✺
Polish Division 2
25.10.25	Rekord Bielsko-Biała - Olimpia Grudziądz	2:2 ✺
19.10.25	Olimpia Grudziądz - Chojniczanka Chojnice	2:1 ✺
11.10.25	Warta Poznań - Olimpia Grudziądz	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 2
06.04.25	Olimpia Grudziądz - Hutnik	4:3
07.09.24	Hutnik - Olimpia Grudziądz	1:1
25.05.24	Hutnik - Olimpia Grudziądz	1:2
11.11.23	Olimpia Grudziądz - Hutnik	0:2
Polish Cup
04.08.21	Hutnik - Olimpia Grudziądz	0:1
Polish Division 2
27.03.21	Olimpia Grudziądz - Hutnik	1:2
25.09.20	Hutnik - Olimpia Grudziądz	2:2

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