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Current Win Probability
Hutnik 34.8%
Draw 26.7%
Olimpia Grudziądz 38.4%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
35%
27.2%
37.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
34.9%
27.1%
37.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Hutnik has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
Olimpia Grudziądz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hutnik than the current prediction. (+0.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Olimpia Grudziądz than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
Hutnik - Olimpia Grudziądz Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
12. Hoyo-Kowalski D. (G) 27. Budzinski M. 5. Burka D. 13. Gandziarowski M. 26. Laskowski F. 25. Nweke V. 9. Rzepka K. 20. Sajdak P. 24. Sciuk D. 10. Sowinski M. 19. Zawada O.
1. Jerke M. (G) 33. Abramowicz D. 14. Brzek B. 16. Fietz K. 44. Frelek D. 13. Jasiak H. 7. Olejarka D. 17. Siemaszko A. 32. Stolc P. 93. Tsiupa 25. Zbiciak B.
Substitutes
16. Bil S. 17. Florek B. 47. Galek I. 8. Kholodov N. 11. Kordykiewicz O. 23. Lelek K. 37. Motrych A. 33. Nowak W. (G) 18. Soja M.
9. Baldyga D. 10. Cichon K. 22. Jastrzembski D. 97. Klat O. (G) 70. Nowacki F. 19. Stec J. 29. Szafranek W. 5. Wichtowski M. 11. Wilak F.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 2)
6', 0 - 1, Jasiak H. ⚽,
24', Tsyupa I. 🟨,
43', 0 - 2, Siemaszko A. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Gandziarowski M. ↓, Florek B. ↑,
46', Laskowski F. ↓, Kordykiewicz O. ↑,
53', Jasiak H. 🟨,
64', Fietz K. ↓, Stec J. ↑,
64', Siemaszko A. ↓, Jastrzembski D. ↑,
67', Rzepka K. ↓, Galek I. ↑,
67', Budzinski M. ↓, Lelek K. ↑,
71', Burka D. 🟨,
73', Jasiak H. ↓, Szafranek W. ↑,
73', Olejarka D. ↓, Nowacki F. ↑,
75', 1 - 2, Lelek K. ⚽,
76', Sciuk D. ↓, Motrych A. ↑,
80', Motrych A. 🟨,
90', Frelek D. ↓, Cichon K. ↑,
Preview
A direct battle for position between neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 7th and 6th in the Promotion - Division 2 Promotion - Playoffs).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hutnik won 0.
Hutnik is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Performances by Olimpia have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Recently, Olimpia has had a run of games away from home.
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
In the last 9 head-to-head meetings, Hutnik has recorded 2 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 15:15 (averaging 1.7:1.7 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Hutnik against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses, with 6:8 goals (averaging 1.2:1.6 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
4
Ol. Grudziadz
13
6
4
3
17:18
-1
22
10
Hutnik Krakow
13
5
3
5
20:18
2
18
Outrights of Polish Division 2 for now
Ol. Grudziadz: 6.47% Hutnik Krakow: 0.81%
Last Results with these Odds
Olimpia Grudziądz - the odds 2.34 are the expected chance of winning is 37.84%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.
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Hoyo-Kowalski D. (G) 
Nweke V. 
Tsiupa 
Kholodov N. 
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