Match Info

Ekstraklasa - Round 12

Date: 20 October 2025, Monday

Location: Orlen Stadion (Płock)

Referee: Przybyl J. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Canada	beIN Connect, beIN Sports Espanol
Croatia	Arena Sport 3
Poland	CANAL+ Sport 3, CANAL+ Sport 5, Ekstraklasa TV
Usa	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz


	Wisła Płock		Termalica Nieciecza

	1	X	2
	1.91	3.6	3.9	Watch
	1.92	3.5	3.65
	1.96	3.6	4.13
	2.10	3.06	3.85	Watch
	1.91	3.62	3.65	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.96 ↑ (1.91)	3.48 ↓ (3.58)	3.84 ↓ (3.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Wisła Płock
48.2%

Draw
27.2%

Termalica Nieciecza
24.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.5%

26.4%

24.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.7%

23.3%

27.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wisła Płock has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Termalica Nieciecza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wisła Płock than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Termalica Nieciecza than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
76.5%	17.6%	5.9%

Wisła Płock - Termalica Nieciecza Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Wisła Płock will win (votes: 13 - 76.5%). Termalica will win (votes: 1 - 5.9%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 17.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Wisła Płock: 56.3% – 96.7%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Wisła Płock (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1 - Termalica (1.43) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Wisła Płock (votes: 2 - 50%). Termalica (votes: 1 - 25%). Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Leszczynski R. (C) 21. Rogelj Z. 4. Haglind-Sangre M. 35. Kaminski M. 19. Edmundsson A. 13. Lecoeuche Q. 14. Kun D. 84. Tavares T. 8. Pacheco D. 20. Sekulski L. 99. Juric D.	99. Mleczko M. (G) 3. Kasperkiewicz A. 2. Kopacz B. 77. Putivtsev A. (C) 29. Isik G. 28. Ambrosiewicz M. 13. Kubica K. 27. Boboc R. 23. Guerrero S. 7. Fassbender M. 86. Strzalek I.
Substitutes
2. Custovic K. 17. Djalo M. 16. Hiszpanski F. 3. Kalandadze A. . Lesniewski M. 25. Mijuskovic N. 5. Nastic B. 6. Pomorski K. 1. Pruszkowski S. (G) 37. Tomczyk O. 42. Zajac F.	17. Biniek D. 1. Chovan A. (G) 35. Deisadze D. 21. Hilbrycht D. 26. Jakubik W. 16. Kozik M. 8. Kurzawa R. 5. Masoero L. 55. Thiago Dombroski
Coaches
Misiura M.	Brosz M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
29', 1 - 0, Pacheco D. ⚽, Haglind-Sangre M. (A),
39', Kasperkiewicz A. 🟨,
42', 2 - 0, Sekulski L. ⚽, Rogelj Z. (A),
43', 3 - 0, Juric D. ⚽, Kun D. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Kasperkiewicz A. ↓, Masoero L. ↑,
66', Strzalek I. ↓, Hilbrycht D. ↑,
71', Pacheco D. ↓, Djalo M. ↑,
77', Fassbender M. ↓, Jakubik W. ↑,
77', Ambrosiewicz M. ↓, Kurzawa R. ↑,
83', 3 - 1, Edmundsson A. (Own goal),
84', Sekulski L. ↓, Pomorski K. ↑,
84', Lecoeuche Q. ↓, Kalandadze A. ↑,
84', Tavares T. ↓, Mijuskovic N. ↑,
89', Boboc R. ↓, Thiago Dombroski ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wisła Płock won 2.

Wisła Płock is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Termalica has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Wisła Płock will hold a modest advantage in this match.

There will not play in Wisła Płock: Gostomski M. (Knee Injury) Jimenez J. (Foot Injury) Nowak W. (Yellow Cards) Salvador I. (Yellow Cards) Wieckowski M. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Termalica: Trubeha A. (Injury)

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Wisła Płock won 7 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 20:13. (average 1.4:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Wisła Płock won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:5. (average 1.6:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wisła Płock
Polish Ekstraklasa
03.10.25	Lechia Gdańsk - Wisła Płock	1:1 ✺
26.09.25	Wisła Płock - GKS Katowice	1:1 ✺
Polish Cup
23.09.25	GKS Katowice - Wisła Płock	4:2 ET ✺
Polish Ekstraklasa
19.09.25	Wisła Płock - Jagiellonia Białystok	0:1 ✺
29.08.25	Arka Gdynia - Wisła Płock	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 TTLLL
- Termalica Nieciecza
Polish Ekstraklasa
04.10.25	Termalica Nieciecza - Widzew Łódź	2:4 ✺
27.09.25	Piast Gliwice - Termalica Nieciecza	4:2 ✺
Polish Cup
24.09.25	Termalica Nieciecza - Widzew Łódź	2:3 penalties ✺
Polish Ekstraklasa
20.09.25	Termalica Nieciecza - Lech Poznań	0:2 ✺
14.09.25	Motor Lublin - Termalica Nieciecza	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 1
10.03.25	Wisła Płock - Termalica Nieciecza	3:0
21.08.24	Termalica Nieciecza - Wisła Płock	4:2
02.03.24	Termalica Nieciecza - Wisła Płock	2:2
19.08.23	Wisła Płock - Termalica Nieciecza	3:1
Polish Ekstraklasa
01.05.22	Termalica Nieciecza - Wisła Płock	1:0
05.11.21	Wisła Płock - Termalica Nieciecza	1:1
02.03.18	Termalica Nieciecza - Wisła Płock	1:2

Upcoming Matches