Match Info

POLAND: Division 1 - Round 24

Date: 16 March 2025, Sunday

Location: Stadion ROSRRiT (Siedlce)

Referee: Rzucidlo P. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	sport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app


	Pogoń Siedlce		Stal Stalowa Wola

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.2	2.7
	2.5	3.2	2.55
	2.55	3.25	2.75	Watch
	2.63	3.21	2.67
	2.55	3.21	2.76	Watch
	2.45	3	2.75
	2.49	3.2	2.66
	2.55	3.25	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.52 ↓ (2.59)	3.19 ↓ (3.28)	2.7 ↑ (2.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pogoń Siedlce
36.7%

Draw
29%

Stal Stalowa Wola
34.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36%

28.4%

35.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pogoń Siedlce has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Stal Stalowa Wola has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Pogoń Siedlce - Stal Stalowa Wola Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
57. Lemanowicz J. (G) 14. Jakubik D. 17. Misiak P. 2. Mis K. 6. Flis M. 19. Zielonka N. 43. Hrnciar L. 4. Drag M. 21. Famulak M. 56. Demianiuk C. (C) 13. Podlinski K.	12. Piekutowski M. (G) 22. Banach J. (C) 55. Oko D. 4. Furtak L. 2. Kukulowicz B. 21. Mydlarz M. 10. Walski M. 26. Zaucha P. 8. Thiago 23. Svec J. 39. Jonathan Junior
Substitutes
39. Bykowski M. 55. Cassio 71. Danielewicz K. 28. Gryglak K. 11. Majewski M. 12. Milasius T. 77. Pik D. 23. Pruchniewski M. (G) 10. Pyrdol P.	7. Ibe-Torti K. 78. Koscielniak D. 16. Lelek K. 5. Mehremic A. 20. Pioterczak B. 29. Ruszel M. 33. Smylek M. (G) 11. Strozik S. 24. Urban D.
Coaches
Nocon A.	Pluska M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
22', Flis M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
55', Furtak L. 🟨,
59', Svec J. ↓, Urban D. ↑,
59', Thiago ↓, Ibe-Torti K. ↑,
69', Famulak M. ↓, Danielewicz K. ↑,
69', Zielonka N. ↓, Bykowski M. ↑,
73', Danielewicz K. 🟨,
75', Jonathan Junior ↓, Strozik S. ↑,
79', Banach J. ↓, Mehremic A. ↑,
82', Hrnciar L. ↓, Majewski M. ↑,
85', Demianiuk C. ↓, Milasius T. ↑,

Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 2 and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 2).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Pogoń Siedlce won 3.

Stal Stalowa Wola is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Stal Stalowa Wola could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Pogoń Siedlce won 6 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 19:7 (average 2.4:0.9).

Including matches at home between the teams Pogoń Siedlce won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8:3 (average 2.7:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pogoń Siedlce
Polish Division 1
07.03.25	GKS Tychy - Pogoń Siedlce	2:0 ✺
28.02.25	Pogoń Siedlce - Wisła Płock	1:3 ✺
22.02.25	Termalica Nieciecza - Pogoń Siedlce	1:1 ✺
17.02.25	Pogoń Siedlce - Ruch Chorzów	1:1 ✺
08.12.24	Pogoń Siedlce - Odra Opole	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 LLTTL
- FC Stal Stalowa Wola
Polish Division 1
08.03.25	Stal Stalowa Wola - Odra Opole	0:0 ✺
02.03.25	Chrobry Głogów - Stal Stalowa Wola	2:0 ✺
24.02.25	Stal Stalowa Wola - Warta Poznań	0:0 ✺
15.02.25	Kotwica Kołobrzeg - Stal Stalowa Wola	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
07.02.25	Stal Stalowa Wola - Chełmianka Chełm	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 TLTTL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 1
24.08.24	Stal Stalowa Wola - Pogoń Siedlce	1:3
Polish Division 2
27.11.23	Stal Stalowa Wola - Pogoń Siedlce	2:1
29.07.23	Pogoń Siedlce - Stal Stalowa Wola	2:0
25.07.20	Stal Stalowa Wola - Pogoń Siedlce	0:3
09.11.19	Pogoń Siedlce - Stal Stalowa Wola	1:2
09.03.19	Pogoń Siedlce - Stal Stalowa Wola	5:1
22.08.18	Stal Stalowa Wola - Pogoń Siedlce	0:2

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