Match Info

Division 2 - Round 10

Date: 26 September 2025, Friday

Location: Stadion przy Drodze Dębińskiej (Poznań)

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	sport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app


	Warta Poznań		Stal Stalowa Wola

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.25	3.25	2.78	Watch
	2.56	3.45	2.73
	2.47	3.11	2.86	Watch
	2.3	3.22	2.83	Watch
	2.4	3.3	2.67
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.4 ↑ (2.36)	3.27 ↓ (3.28)	2.77 ↑ (2.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Warta Poznań
38.5%

Draw
28.2%

Stal Stalowa Wola
33.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.2%

27.5%

34.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.9%

27.7%

34.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Warta Poznań has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Stal Stalowa Wola has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Warta Poznań than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stal Stalowa Wola than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Warta Poznań - Stal Stalowa Wola Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
42. Przybylak L. (G) 24. Avdeev D. 20. Dziedzic K. 8. Kumoch K. (C) 2. Lepczynski K. 29. Rychert K. 99. Smoczynski M. 17. Stefaniak M. 7. Walus F. 4. Wojcinowicz T. 21. Zylla M.	1. Jankiewicz J. (G) 4. Furtak L. (C) 23. Getinger K. 10. Hebel M. 8. Hrnciar L. 77. Kendzia J. 7. Radecki M. 13. Svec J. 19. Wolny D. 11. Zaucha P. 6. Zemlo P.
Substitutes
35. Jakubowski F. 1. Kosiorek J. (G) 13. Niedzielski J. 9. Stanek M. . Steblecki S. 19. Szymanek K. . Tonder F. . Wojciechowski I. 74. Zalewski S.	2. Kukulowicz B. 9. Lacki D. 16. Lelek K. 20. Niedbala J. 99. Nowak O. 73. Radomski K. 33. Smylek M. (G) 18. Surzyn M. 17. Tomalski H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
22', Radecki M. 🟨,
34', Furtak L. 🟨,
35', 1 - 0, Wojcinowicz T. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
56', Walus F. ↓, Szymanek K. ↑,
56', Rychert K. ↓, Zalewski S. ↑,
63', Wolny D. ↓, Lacki D. ↑,
63', Kendzia J. ↓, Kukulowicz B. ↑,
65', Smoczynski M. ↓, Stanek M. ↑,
65', Dziedzic K. ↓, Steblecki S. ↑,
69', Radecki M. ↓, Nowak O. ↑,
69', Svec J. ↓, Tomalski H. ↑,
72', Tomalski H. 🟨,
73', 2 - 0, Szymanek K. ⚽,
78', 3 - 0, Zylla M. ⚽,
79', Hrnciar L. ↓, Niedbala J. ↑,
81', Zylla M. ↓, Wojciechowski I. ↑,
83', 3 - 1, Nowak O. ⚽,
87', Wojcinowicz T. 🟨,
87', Zemlo P. 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 9 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 1).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Warta won 3.

Warta is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Stal Stalowa Wola's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Warta won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:4. (average 1:0.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Warta won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:3. (average 1.7:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Warta Poznań
Polish Cup
23.09.25	Warta Poznań - Polonia Bytom	0:1 ✺
Polish Division 2
20.09.25	Warta Poznań - Sokół Kleczew	3:2 ✺
14.09.25	Śląsk Wrocław 2 - Warta Poznań	0:1 ✺
07.09.25	Warta Poznań - Zagłębie Sosnowiec	1:0 ✺
30.08.25	GKS Jastrzębie - Warta Poznań	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 LWWWT
- FC Stal Stalowa Wola
Polish Cup
23.09.25	Goczałkowice Zdrój II - Stal Stalowa Wola	3:1 ET ✺
Polish Division 2
19.09.25	Stal Stalowa Wola - ŁKS Łódź II	1:1 ✺
13.09.25	Sandecja Nowy Sącz - Stal Stalowa Wola	2:3 ✺
07.09.25	Stal Stalowa Wola - Swit Skolwin	5:2 ✺
30.08.25	Śląsk Wrocław 2 - Stal Stalowa Wola	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 LTWWL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 1
24.02.25	Stal Stalowa Wola - Warta Poznań	0:0
10.08.24	Warta Poznań - Stal Stalowa Wola	1:0
Polish Division 2
08.04.18	Warta Poznań - Stal Stalowa Wola	1:0
10.09.17	Stal Stalowa Wola - Warta Poznań	1:0
01.04.17	Stal Stalowa Wola - Warta Poznań	0:1
03.09.16	Warta Poznań - Stal Stalowa Wola	3:3

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