Match Info

Division 2 - Round 7

Date: 7 September 2025, Sunday

Location: Stadion przy Drodze Dębińskiej (Poznań)

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	sport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app


	Warta Poznań		Zagłębie Sosnowiec

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.7	3.2	2.3
	2.38	3.4	2.52	Watch
	2.38	3.3	2.54
	2.21	3.22	3.20	Watch
	2.41	3.28	2.57	Watch
	2.8	3.2	2.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.48 ↑ (2.43)	3.27 ↑ (3.13)	2.58 ↓ (2.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Warta Poznań
36.8%

Draw
27.9%

Zagłębie Sosnowiec
35.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37%

28.8%

34.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.5%

27.7%

32.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Warta Poznań has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Zagłębie Sosnowiec has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Warta Poznań than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zagłębie Sosnowiec than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

Warta Poznań - Zagłębie Sosnowiec Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Warta (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
42. Przybylak L. (G) 24. Avdeev D. 16. Kornobis I. 8. Kumoch K. (C) 2. Lepczynski K. 13. Niedzielski J. 29. Rychert K. 99. Smoczynski M. 19. Szymanek K. 7. Walus F. 4. Wojcinowicz T.	1. Kabala M. (G) 22. Dziedzic I. 37. Gryszkiewicz A. 21. Matras M. (C) 45. Pawlowski J. 92. Rakels D. 7. Ronnberg L. 9. Shikavka Y. 17. Skora K. 11. Snopczynski B. 43. Szot D.
Substitutes
. Jakubowski F. . Kosiorek J. (G) . Michalski S. . Rychlik J. . Stanek M. . Steblecki S. . Stefaniak M. . Tonder F. . Zylla M.	10. Agbor E. 18. Bazler M. 27. Borun B. 23. Checinski B. 33. Kos M. (G) 4. Kurtovic R. 19. Mucha P. 88. Paszczela B. 80. Uchnast L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
22', Ronnberg L. 🟨,
28', Kumoch K. 🟨,
30', Kornobis I. 🟨,
38', Pawlowski J. ↓, Mucha P. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Ronnberg L. ↓, Checinski B. ↑,
60', Szymanek K. ↓, Zylla M. ↑,
60', Snopczynski B. ↓, Borun B. ↑,
64', Niedzielski J. 🟨,
73', Rychert K. ↓, Stefaniak M. ↑,
78', Dziedzic I. ↓, Bazler M. ↑,
78', Rakels D. ↓, Agbor E. ↑,
82', Stefaniak M. 🟨,
82', Gryszkiewicz A. 🟨,
83', Kumoch K. ↓, Steblecki S. ↑,
83', Smoczynski M. ↓, Stanek M. ↑,
85', Szot D. 🟨,
88', 1 - 0, Stanek M. ⚽,
90', Shikavka Y. 🟨,

Preview

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 14 in the zone Division 2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

Warta has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Zagłębie Sosnowiec is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Zagłębie Sosnowiec may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Warta has had a series of away games.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Warta won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 2:1.5).

Including home match between the teams, Warta won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Warta Poznań
Polish Division 2
30.08.25	GKS Jastrzębie - Warta Poznań	1:1 ✺
22.08.25	Rekord Bielsko-Biała - Warta Poznań	2:2 ✺
17.08.25	ŁKS Łódź II - Warta Poznań	0:0 ✺
10.08.25	Swit Skolwin - Warta Poznań	1:1 ✺
Polish Cup
06.08.25	Warta Poznań - Olimpia Elbląg	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 TTTTW
- Zagłębie Sosnowiec
Polish Division 2
31.08.25	Zagłębie Sosnowiec - Olimpia Grudziądz	3:3 ✺
23.08.25	Podhale Nowy Targ - Zagłębie Sosnowiec	1:1 ✺
16.08.25	Śląsk Wrocław 2 - Zagłębie Sosnowiec	1:1 ✺
10.08.25	Zagłębie Sosnowiec - Unia Skierniewice	0:3 ✺
Polish Cup
05.08.25	Hutnik - Zagłębie Sosnowiec	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 TTTLL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 1
10.07.20	Zagłębie Sosnowiec - Warta Poznań	0:2
19.10.19	Warta Poznań - Zagłębie Sosnowiec	2:3

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