The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Stalybridge Celtic 29.7%
Draw 26.7%
Morpeth Town 43.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
36.6%
27.9%
35.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
37.8%
28.8%
34.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Stalybridge Celtic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Stalybridge Celtic's form might have worsened.
Morpeth Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Morpeth Town's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stalybridge Celtic than the current prediction. (+8.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Stalybridge Celtic, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Morpeth Town than the current prediction. (-9.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Morpeth Town, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
25%
50%
25%
Stalybridge Celtic - Morpeth Town Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Stalybridge will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Morpeth will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
A team from the mid-table and outsider will play in this match (ranked 17 and 10).
Stalybridge is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Recent matches Morpeth is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Morpeth could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
Last 5 head-to-head matches Stalybridge won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-2.
Including matches at home between the teams Stalybridge won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-1.