Match Info

ENGLAND: NPL PREMIER DIVISION - ROUND 34

Date: 19 March 2024, Tuesday


	Radcliffe		Morpeth Town

	1	X	2
	1.39	4.6	5.5
	1.42	4.75	5.5	Watch
	1.41	5.66	5.4
	1.42	5.66	5.31
	1.33	4.75	5.8
	1.39	4.85	5.86
	1.42	4.75	5.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.4 ↑ (1.34)	5 (5)	5.55 ↓ (6.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Radcliffe
65.3%

Draw
18.2%

Morpeth Town
16.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.4%

18.1%

14.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.8%

17%

13.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Radcliffe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Morpeth Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Radcliffe than the current prediction. (+6.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Radcliffe, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Morpeth Town than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	25%	0%

Radcliffe - Morpeth Town Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Radcliffe will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
13', Sargent M. ⚽,
45+2', Thornley O. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
64', Maynard L. ⚽,
87', Steels V. ⚽,
90', Navarro L. ⚽,

Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ National League North and 13).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Radcliffe won 3.

Radcliffe is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Morpeth is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Radcliffe is certain favorite.

Our prediction for today's Radcliffe to win the game is with odds 1.3.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Radcliffe won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 11-17.

Including matches at home between the teams Radcliffe won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5-9.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Radcliffe FC
English NPL Premier Division
16.03.24	Stafford Rangers - Radcliffe	0:3 ✺
09.03.24	Guiseley - Radcliffe	1:0 ✺
24.02.24	Ilkeston - Radcliffe	1:2 ✺
17.02.24	Radcliffe - Marine	3:2 ✺
13.02.24	Radcliffe - Atherton Collieries	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WLWWT
- Morpeth Town
English NPL Premier Division
16.03.24	Morpeth Town - Lancaster City	2:0 ✺
09.03.24	Morpeth Town - Atherton Collieries	2:1 ✺
24.02.24	Morpeth Town - United of Manchester	3:0 ✺
17.02.24	Guiseley - Morpeth Town	4:1 ✺
10.02.24	Morpeth Town - Bamber Bridge	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

English NPL Premier Division
14.11.23	Morpeth Town - Radcliffe	2:3
28.01.23	Morpeth Town - Radcliffe	0:1
24.09.22	Radcliffe - Morpeth Town	3:1
19.03.22	Radcliffe - Morpeth Town	1:5
05.10.21	Morpeth Town - Radcliffe	3:1
English FA Cup
02.10.21	Radcliffe - Morpeth Town	1:3
English NPL Premier Division
01.02.20	Morpeth Town - Radcliffe	3:1

Upcoming Matches