Match Info

ENGLAND: Southern League Central Division - Round 39

Date: 6 April 2024, Saturday


	Stamford		Long Eaton United

	1	X	2
	1.15	6.75	12.5
	1.14	7	13
	1.15	8.32	11.57
	1.16	8.32	11.57
	1.12	7.4	14
	1.14	7	13
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.14 ↓ (1.41)	7.47 ↑ (4.33)	12.61 ↑ (6.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stamford
80.4%

Draw
12.3%

Long Eaton United
7.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.4%

21%

14.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69%

19.6%

13.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stamford has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Stamford's performance.

Long Eaton United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Long Eaton United might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stamford than the current prediction. (-11.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Stamford that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Long Eaton United than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Long Eaton United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
6', 1 - 0, Duffy J. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
90', 2 - 0, (Own goal),

Preview

Recent matches Stamford is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Long Eaton is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Long Eaton could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Stamford is indisputable favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Stamford won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stamford AFC
English Southern League Central Division
01.04.24	St Ives Town - Stamford	1:4 ✺
30.03.24	Stamford - Royston Town	1:2 ✺
23.03.24	Stamford - Leiston	3:0 ✺
16.03.24	AFC Telford United - Stamford	2:1 ✺
24.02.24	Stamford - Barwell	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WLWLW
- Long Eaton United
English Southern League Central Division
01.04.24	Barwell - Long Eaton United	3:0 ✺
23.03.24	Stratford Town - Long Eaton United	3:2 ✺
16.03.24	Long Eaton United - St Ives Town	3:3 ✺
09.03.24	Long Eaton United - Needham Market	0:0 ✺
05.03.24	Long Eaton United - Leamington	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24 LLTTT

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League Central Division
18.11.23	Long Eaton United - Stamford	1:3

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