Match Info

ENGLAND: Southern League Premier Central - Round 27

Date: 18 January 2025, Saturday

Location: New Bucks Head (Telford)


	AFC Telford United		Stamford

	1	X	2
	1.72	3.7	3.7
	1.73	3.85	3.85
	1.77	4	3.99
	1.72	3.75	3.98
	1.73	3.85	3.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.73 ↓ (2.01)	3.83 ↑ (3.63)	3.87 ↑ (3.11)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

AFC Telford United
52.6%

Draw
23.8%

Stamford
23.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.5%

25.2%

29.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.8%

25%

29.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

AFC Telford United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in AFC Telford United's performance.

Stamford has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Stamford might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for AFC Telford United than the current prediction. (-6.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with AFC Telford United that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stamford than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Stamford could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

AFC Telford United - Stamford Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 0)
79', 1 - 0, Stenson M. ⚽,
85', 2 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Southern League Premier Central (Play Offs: ) and 7).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Stamford could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Telford have a series of guest games.

Telford will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Telford won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7:4 (average 1.8:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Telford won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:3 (average 1.5:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AFC Telford United
English Southern League Central Division
14.01.25	Royston Town - AFC Telford United	3:3 ✺
11.01.25	Bedford Town - AFC Telford United	2:3 ✺
01.01.25	Stratford Town - AFC Telford United	4:0 ✺
28.12.24	Hitchin Town - AFC Telford United	3:3 ✺
26.12.24	AFC Telford United - Halesowen Town	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 TWLTW
- Stamford AFC
English Southern League Central Division
14.01.25	Halesowen Town - Stamford	2:0 ✺
07.01.25	Lowestoft Town - Stamford	0:3 ✺
04.01.25	Stamford - Harborough Town	1:2 ✺
28.12.24	Stourbridge - Stamford	0:2 ✺
26.12.24	Stamford - Spalding United	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 LWLWT

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League Central Division
09.11.24	Stamford - AFC Telford United	1:3
16.03.24	AFC Telford United - Stamford	2:1
20.02.24	Stamford - AFC Telford United	0:1
English FA Cup
18.09.21	AFC Telford United - Stamford	1:2

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