Match Info

Jupiler Pro League - Round 9

Date: 27 September 2025, Saturday

Location: Maurice Dufrasnestadion (Liège)

Referee: Vergoote J. (Bel)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DAZN
Austria	DAZN
Belgium	Sporza, Sporza
Bolivia	DAZN
Brazil	DAZN Brasil
Canada	DAZN Canada
Ecuador	DAZN
France	DAZN France
Germany	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
New-zealand	DAZN New Zealand
Paraguay	DAZN
Portugal	DAZN / App
Spain	DAZN Espana
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Taiwan	DAZN
United-kingdom	DAZN
Uruguay	DAZN
Usa	DAZN USA
Venezuela	DAZN


	Standard Liège		Club Brugge

	1	X	2
	5	4.33	1.6	Watch
	5.3	4.2	1.58	Watch
	5.86	4.51	1.54
	10.83	2.49	1.76	Watch
	5.19	4.34	1.6	Watch
	5.2	4	1.57
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.23 ↑ (5.44)	3.98 ↓ (4.18)	1.61 ↑ (1.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Standard Liège
15.5%

Draw
24.3%

Club Brugge
60.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

17.5%

22.8%

59.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.2%

22.4%

60.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Standard Liège has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Club Brugge has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Standard Liège than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Club Brugge than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
7.1%	0%	92.9%

Standard Liège - Club Brugge Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Brugge (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.5 - Standard (4.75) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Club Brugge will win (13 of 14 users predict this - 92.86%).
Confidence interval (95%): 79.37% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Standard (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Brugge (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Epolo M. (G) 13. Fossey M. (C) 29. Dierckx D. 20. Karamoko I. 7. Mohr T. 94. Nielsen C. 23. Ilaimaharitra M. 11. Abid A. 10. Eckert Ayensa D. 17. Said R. 9. Henry T.	29. Jackers N. (G) 14. Meijer B. 4. Ordonez J. 44. Mechele B. 65. Seys J. 25. Stankovic A. 11. Sandra C. 9. Forbs C. 20. Vanaken H. (C) 8. Tzolis C. 7. Tresoldi N.
Substitutes
22. Calut A. 25. Hautekiet I. 24. Homawoo J. 14. Kuavita L. 18. Lawrence H. 8. Mehssatou Sepulveda N. 59. Nkada T. 21. Pirard L. (G) 6. Sahabo H.	62. Audoor L. 84. Campbell S. 19. Nilsson G. 24. Osuji V. 6. Reis L. 64. Sabbe K. 41. Siquet H. 58. Spileers J. 16. van den Heuvel D. (G) 17. Vermant R. 10. Vetlesen H.
Coaches
Euvrard V.	Hayen N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
8', 1 - 0, Said R. ⚽,
10', 1 - 1, Tzolis C. ⚽, Forbs C. (A),
23', Nielsen C. 🟨,
39', Mohr T. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
56', Seys J. 🟨,
62', Fossey M. 🟥,
66', Eckert Ayensa D. ↓, Lawrence H. ↑,
68', Tresoldi N. ↓, Vermant R. ↑,
68', Sandra C. ↓, Reis L. ↑,
73', Henry T. ↓, Nkada T. ↑,
73', Dierckx D. ↓, Hautekiet I. ↑,
75', Seys J. ↓, Sabbe K. ↑,
83', Forbs C. ↓, Campbell S. ↑,
83', Meijer B. ↓, Siquet H. ↑,
88', Nielsen C. ↓, Sahabo H. ↑,
88', Said R. ↓, Kuavita L. ↑,
90+1', 1 - 2, Vermant R. ⚽, Mechele B. (A),
90+2', Karamoko I. 🟨,
90+8', Tzolis C. 🟨,
90+8', Sahabo H. 🟨,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Conference League Group: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Standard won 3.

Recent form of Standard has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Brugge has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Brugge may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Brugge is the team to beat.

There will not play in Standard: Bates D. (Knee Injury) Doumbia S. (Hamstring Injury)

There will not play in Brugge: Mignolet S. (Injury) Reis L. (Inactive) Vetlesen H. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Standard: Homawoo J. (Injury)

There are questionable in Brugge: Onyedika R. (Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Standard won 7 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 27:30. (average 1.4:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Standard won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 16:6. (average 1.6:0.6).

Last Results with these Odds

Club Brugge - the odds 1.6 are the expected chance of winning is 59.63%, but this team recently wins 86% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Standard Liège
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
21.09.25	Westerlo - Standard Liège	0:2 ✺
12.09.25	Standard Liège - KV Mechelen	1:1 ✺
31.08.25	Oud-Heverlee Leuven - Standard Liège	1:0 ✺
23.08.25	Standard Liège - Cercle Brugge	0:3 ✺
16.08.25	Saint-Gilloise - Standard Liège	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WTLLL
- Club Brugge
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
24.09.25	Club Brugge - Westerlo	5:5 ✺
21.09.25	Club Brugge - Sint-Truidense	2:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
18.09.25	Club Brugge - Monaco	4:1 ✺
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
13.09.25	RAAL La Louvière - Club Brugge	1:0 ✺
31.08.25	Gent - Club Brugge	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 TWWLT

Latest Head to Head

Belgian Jupiler Pro League
23.02.25	Club Brugge - Standard Liège	1:2
04.08.24	Standard Liège - Club Brugge	1:0
03.12.23	Club Brugge - Standard Liège	2:0
08.10.23	Standard Liège - Club Brugge	2:1
12.03.23	Club Brugge - Standard Liège	2:0
18.09.22	Standard Liège - Club Brugge	3:0
23.01.22	Standard Liège - Club Brugge	2:2

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