Match Info

BELGIUM: JUPILER PRO LEAGUE - ROUND 30

Date: 16 March 2024, Saturday

Location: Maurice Dufrasnestadion (Liège)

Referee: Verboomen N. (Bel)


	Standard Liège		Eupen

	1	X	2
	1.6	4.2	5	Watch
	1.65	4	5
	1.75	3.75	4.5
	1.62	4.2	5.6
	1.63	4.1	5.55
	1.63	4.18	5.13	Watch
	1.63	4.1	5.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.64 ↓ (1.74)	4.08 ↑ (3.85)	5.14 ↑ (4.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Standard Liège
58%

Draw
23.4%

Eupen
18.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.2%

24.5%

21.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.1%

21.7%

24%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Standard Liège has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

Eupen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Standard Liège than the current prediction. (-9.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Standard Liège that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Eupen than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Eupen could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
58.8%	29.4%	11.8%

Standard Liège - Eupen Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Standard will win (votes: 10 - 58.8%). Eupen will win (votes: 2 - 11.8%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 29.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Standard: 35.4% – 82.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Bodart A. (C) 51. Noubi Ngnokam L. 34. Laifis K. 15. Doumbia S. 8. Price I. 22. Balikwisha W. 6. Kawabe H. 17. Alzate S. 19. Djenepo M. 14. Kanga W. 9. Yeboah K.	24. Slonina G. (G) 2. Van Genechten Y. 4. Palsson V. 25. Filin A. 3. Davidson J. 6. Baiye B. 35. Lambert B. 18. Keita A. 7. Nuhu I. 10. Charles-Cook R. 9. Emond R.
Substitutes
61. Canak C. 2. Dewaele G. 11. Fini S. 13. Fossey M. 30. Henkinet L. (G) 5. Panzo J. 28. Perica S. 33. Sahabo H. 18. Sowah K.	14. Deom J. 56. Filorizzo M. 27. Finnbogason A. 21. Kral J. 47. Marechal T. 8. Mohwald K. 33. Nurudeen A. (G) 34. Youndje K.
Coaches
Leko I.	Kohfeldt F.

Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 10 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Conference League Group: ) and 14 in the zone Jupiler Pro League (Relegation Group: )).

Standard is Qualified for Jupiler Pro League (Conference League Group )

Eupen is Jupiler Pro League (Relegation Group )

Last 5 head-to-head matches Standard won 4.

Recent matches Standard is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Eupen is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Standard is a favorite.

There will not play in Eupen: Alloh T. (Muscle Injury) Bialek B. (Knee Injury) Magnee G. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Standard: Bokadi M. (Knee Injury) Fossey M. (Muscle Injury) Henkinet L. (Knee Injury) O'Neill A. (Injury) Vanheusden Z. (Hernia)

Last 17 head-to-head matches Standard won 12 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 37-14.

Including matches at home between the teams Standard won 7 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 21-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Standard Liège
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
10.03.24	Genk - Standard Liège	1:0 ✺
02.03.24	Standard Liège - Gent	4:2 ✺
25.02.24	Saint-Gilloise - Standard Liège	2:1 ✺
16.02.24	Westerlo - Standard Liège	2:1 ✺
10.02.24	Standard Liège - Oud-Heverlee Leuven	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 LWLLW
- KAS Eupen
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
10.03.24	Eupen - Sint-Truidense	1:0 ✺
03.03.24	Anderlecht - Eupen	1:0 ✺
25.02.24	Eupen - Cercle Brugge	0:2 ✺
18.02.24	Eupen - Gent	0:2 ✺
10.02.24	Club Brugge - Eupen	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Belgian Jupiler Pro League
17.09.23	Eupen - Standard Liège	1:3
27.01.23	Standard Liège - Eupen	3:1
05.11.22	Eupen - Standard Liège	2:0
26.01.22	Eupen - Standard Liège	0:2
20.11.21	Standard Liège - Eupen	1:0
09.04.21	Eupen - Standard Liège	0:4
Belgian Cup
13.03.21	Eupen - Standard Liège	0:1

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