Match Info

Jupiler Pro League - Round 22

Date: 23 January 2026, Friday

Location: Maurice Dufrasnestadion (Liège)

Referee: D'hondt L. (Bel)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DAZN
Austria	DAZN
Belgium	DAZN Pro League 1, Play Sports 1, Sporza, Sporza
Bolivia	DAZN
Brazil	DAZN Brasil
Canada	DAZN Canada
Ecuador	DAZN
France	DAZN France
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
New-zealand	DAZN New Zealand
Norway	DAZN
Paraguay	DAZN
Portugal	DAZN / App
Spain	DAZN Espana
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Taiwan	DAZN
United-kingdom	DAZN
Uruguay	DAZN
Usa	DAZN USA
Venezuela	DAZN


	Standard Liège		Gent

	1	X	2
	2.7	3.1	2.63	Watch
	2.9	3.25	2.45
	2.8	3.05	2.65	Watch
	2.87	3.15	2.74
	2.86	3.06	2.66	Watch
	2.75	3	2.5
	2.92	3.09	2.63	Watch
	2.8	3.1	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.83 ↓ (2.87)	3.1 ↓ (3.27)	2.61 ↑ (2.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Standard Liège
33.4%

Draw
30.4%

Gent
36.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.7%

28.6%

38.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.7%

28.6%

38.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Standard Liège has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Gent has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Standard Liège than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gent than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	20%	60%

Standard Liège - Gent Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Standard will win (votes: 3 - 20%). Gent will win (votes: 9 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Gent: 35.2% – 84.8%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Gent (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS, 2nd Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Gent (1.43) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Gent (votes: 5 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Epolo M. (C) 18. Lawrence H. 25. Hautekiet I. 29. Dierckx D. 17. Said R. 23. Ilaimaharitra M. 3. Mortensen G. 8. Mehssatou Sepulveda N. 9. Henry T. 11. Abid A. 80. Teuma T.	33. Roef D. (C) 57. Volckaert M. 3. Paskotsi M. 44. Van Der Heyden S. 20. Araujo T. 15. Ito A. 22. Lopes L. 37. Kadri A. 24. Hong Hyun-Seok 8. Skoras M. 7. Kanga W.
Substitutes
4. Bates D. 10. Eckert Ayensa D. 24. Homawoo J. 14. Kuavita L. 19. Mitongo R. 7. Mohr T. 26. Nguene B. 21. Pirard L. (G) 33. Spoden C.	62. Asselman W. 39. Ayinde A. 21. Dean M. 29. Duverne J. 28. El Adfaoui M. 45. Goore H. 10. Omgba A. 30. Peersman K. (G) 11. Sonko M.
Coaches
Euvrard V.	De Mil R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
11', 0 - 1, Kanga W. ⚽, Kadri A. (A),
31', 0 - 2, Kanga W. ⚽, Ito A. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Mehssatou Sepulveda N. ↓, Eckert Ayensa D. ↑,
46', Abid A. ↓, Nguene B. ↑,
62', Henry T. ↓, Mitongo R. ↑,
66', Hong Hyun-Seok ↓, Goore H. ↑,
70', Dierckx D. ↓, Mohr T. ↑,
76', Ilaimaharitra M. 🟨,
78', Mohr T. 🟨,
82', Ito A. ↓, Omgba A. ↑,
84', 0 - 3, Kanga W. ⚽, Skoras M. (A),
85', Lawrence H. ↓, Bates D. ↑,
88', 0 - 4, Paskotsi M. ⚽, Kadri A. (A),
89', Araujo T. ↓, Dean M. ↑,
89', Kadri A. ↓, Ayinde A. ↑,
89', Kanga W. ↓, Sonko M. ↑,

Preview

The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Conference League Group: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group: ))

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Standard won 0.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Standard may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

There will not play in Standard: Bolingoli B. (Inactive) El Hankouri M. (Inactive) Fossey M. (Muscle Injury) Homawoo J. (Injury) Karamoko I. (Inactive)

There will not play in Gent: Delorge-Knieper M. (Ankle Injury) Samoise M. (Injury)

There are questionable in Standard: Nielsen C. (Injury)

There are questionable in Gent: Van Der Heyden S. (Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Standard won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 15 matches, and goals 19:48. (average 1:2.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Standard won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 12:15. (average 1.3:1.7).

Outrights of Belgian Jupiler Pro League for now

Gent: 10.67% St. Liege: 2.42%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Gent	8	7	1	0	15:4	11	22
7	St. Liege	7	3	2	2	13:12	1	11

Last Results with these Odds

Standard Liège - the odds 2.87 are the expected chance of winning is 32.65%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Standard Liège
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
18.01.26	Charleroi - Standard Liège	2:0 ✺
Club Friendly
09.01.26	Hertha Berlin - Standard Liège	2:3 ✺
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
26.12.25	Standard Liège - Sint-Truidense	1:2 ✺
20.12.25	Dender EH - Standard Liège	0:1 ✺
12.12.25	Standard Liège - Oud-Heverlee Leuven	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 LWLWL
- AA Gent
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
18.01.26	Gent - Anderlecht	4:2 ✺
Belgian Cup
15.01.26	Anderlecht - Gent	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
09.01.26	CFR Cluj - Gent	0:2 ✺
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
27.12.25	Gent - Westerlo	2:0 ✺
21.12.25	Club Brugge - Gent	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Belgian Jupiler Pro League
25.10.25	Gent - Standard Liège	4:0
22.12.24	Standard Liège - Gent	0:1
10.11.24	Gent - Standard Liège	5:0
18.05.24	Standard Liège - Gent	1:4
29.03.24	Gent - Standard Liège	5:1
02.03.24	Standard Liège - Gent	4:2
29.10.23	Gent - Standard Liège	3:1

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