Match Info

BELGIUM: JUPILER PRO LEAGUE - ROUND 29

Date: 10 March 2024, Sunday

Location: Kehrwegstadion (Eupen)

Referee: Allaerts M. (Bel)


	Eupen		Sint-Truidense

	1	X	2
	2.88	3.25	2.45	Watch
	2.85	3.3	2.45
	2.8	3.3	2.5	Watch
	2.92	3.4	2.54
	2.89	3.4	2.55
	2.86	3.42	2.47	Watch
	2.8	3.35	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.86 ↓ (3.3)	3.35 ↓ (3.75)	2.5 ↑ (2.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Eupen
33.4%

Draw
28.5%

Sint-Truidense
38.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.7%

25.2%

46.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.6%

25.3%

46.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Eupen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

Sint-Truidense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sint-Truidense might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Eupen than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sint-Truidense than the current prediction. (+8.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sint-Truidense could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
27.3%	18.2%	54.5%

Eupen - Sint Truidense Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Eupen will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). Sint-Truidense will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sint-Truidense: 25.1% – 83.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
24. Slonina G. (G) 28. Paeshuyse R. 4. Palsson V. 25. Filin A. 3. Davidson J. 6. Baiye B. 35. Lambert B. 18. Keita A. 10. Charles-Cook R. 7. Nuhu I. 9. Emond R.	1. Suzuki Z. (G) 20. Van Helden R. 16. Smets M. 31. Godeau B. (C) 60. Vanwesemael R. 13. Ito R. 17. Delorge-Knieper M. 2. Ogawa R. 18. Steuckers J. 15. Zahiroleslam K. 23. Barnes J.
Substitutes
23. Christie-Davies I. 14. Deom J. 56. Filorizzo M. 27. Finnbogason A. 21. Kral J. 47. Marechal T. 33. Nurudeen A. (G) 2. Van Genechten Y. 34. Youndje K.	27. Ananou F. 91. Bertaccini A. 77. Bocat E. 12. Coppens J. (G) 8. Fujita J. 22. Janssens W. 11. Kaya F. 7. Koita A. 6. Yamamoto R.
Coaches
Kohfeldt F.	Fink T.

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 15 in the zone Jupiler Pro League (Relegation Group: ) and 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Conference League Group: )).

Eupen is Jupiler Pro League (Relegation Group )

Sint-Truidense is Qualified for Jupiler Pro League (Conference League Group )

Last 5 head-to-head matches Eupen won 2.

Eupen has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Sint-Truidense is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Eupen could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Sint-Truidense will have a small advantage in this match.

There will not play in Eupen: Alloh T. (Muscle Injury) Bialek B. (Knee Injury) Filorizzo M. (Injury) Magnee G. (Knee Injury) Pattynama S. (Injury)

There will not play in Sint-Truidense: Okazaki S. (Knee Injury)

Last 29 head-to-head matches Eupen won 10 matches, drawn 10 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 47-48.

Including matches at home between the teams Eupen won 4 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 21-21.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- KAS Eupen
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
03.03.24	Anderlecht - Eupen	1:0 ✺
25.02.24	Eupen - Cercle Brugge	0:2 ✺
18.02.24	Eupen - Gent	0:2 ✺
10.02.24	Club Brugge - Eupen	4:0 ✺
04.02.24	Eupen - KV Mechelen	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Sint-Truidense VV
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
03.03.24	Royal Antwerp - Sint-Truidense	3:0 ✺
24.02.24	Sint-Truidense - Westerlo	1:0 ✺
18.02.24	Anderlecht - Sint-Truidense	4:1 ✺
09.02.24	Sint-Truidense - Kortrijk	1:0 ✺
04.02.24	Cercle Brugge - Sint-Truidense	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Belgian Jupiler Pro League
03.11.23	Sint-Truidense - Eupen	1:1
14.01.23	Eupen - Sint-Truidense	0:2
02.10.22	Sint-Truidense - Eupen	0:1
27.12.21	Sint-Truidense - Eupen	2:0
14.08.21	Eupen - Sint-Truidense	2:1
Club Friendly
17.07.21	Eupen - Sint-Truidense	1:1
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
28.02.21	Sint-Truidense - Eupen	0:2

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