The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Standard Liège 48.1%
Draw 27.1%
Oud-Heverlee Leuven 24.8%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
42.5%
27.2%
30.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
42.3%
27.3%
30.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Standard Liège has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Standard Liège's performance.
Oud-Heverlee Leuven has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Oud-Heverlee Leuven might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Standard Liège than the current prediction. (-5.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Standard Liège that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oud-Heverlee Leuven than the current prediction. (+5.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Oud-Heverlee Leuven could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
78.6%
7.1%
14.3%
Standard Liège - Oud Heverlee Leuven Predictions
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. Standard will win (votes: 11 - 78.6%). Leuven will win (votes: 2 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.1%). Confidence interval (95%) for Standard: 57.1% – 100%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Standard (votes: 1 - 100%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
BTTS - no (votes: 2 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Epolo M. (C) 25. Hautekiet I. 4. Bates D. 24. Homawoo J. 18. Lawrence H. 94. Nielsen C. 20. Karamoko I. 3. Mortensen G. 11. Abid A. 17. Said R. 59. Nkada T.
1. Leysen T. (G) 28. Pletinckx E. (C) 34. Nyakossi R. 30. Akimoto T. 99. Opoku D. 6. George W. 24. Lakomy L. 14. Teklab H. 17. Vaesen K. 9. Traore A. K. 39. Kaba S.
Substitutes
53. Assengue S. 29. Dierckx D. 10. Eckert Ayensa D. 23. Ilaimaharitra M. 8. Mehssatou Sepulveda N. 7. Mohr T. 26. Nguene B. 21. Pirard L. (G) 80. Teuma T.
21. Balikwisha W. 42. Bulut H. 19. Ikwuemesi C. 61. Jochmans O. (G) 48. Kayo B. 33. Maertens M. 5. Ominami T. 16. Prevot M. (G) 8. Schrijvers S.
Coaches
Euvrard V.
Mazzu F.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
34', Vaesen K. 🟨,
40', 0 - 1, Nyakossi R. ⚽,
45', Nyakossi R. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Karamoko I. ↓, Ilaimaharitra M. ↑,
47', 1 - 1, Lawrence H. ⚽,
63', Nkada T. ↓, Eckert Ayensa D. ↑,
69', 2 - 1, Nielsen C. ⚽, Homawoo J. (A),
73', Kaba S. ↓, Ikwuemesi C. ↑,
73', Traore A. K. ↓, Balikwisha W. ↑,
75', Abid A. ↓, Mohr T. ↑,
75', Nielsen C. ↓, Teuma T. ↑,
79', Vaesen K. ↓, Maertens M. ↑,
79', George W. ↓, Schrijvers S. ↑,
87', Teklab H. ↓, Kayo B. ↑,
90+3', Said R. ↓, Nguene B. ↑,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Standard won 1.
Standard has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Leuven is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
Standard is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
There will not play in Standard: El Hankouri M.
(Inactive)
Ilaimaharitra M.
(Injury)
Mitongo R.
(Inactive)
Teuma T.
(Calf Injury)
There are questionable in Leuven: Dussenne N.
(Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Standard won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 20:26. (average 1:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Standard won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 7:11. (average 0.8:1.2).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
9
St. Liege
9
3
2
4
14:15
-1
11
16
Leuven
9
1
3
5
8:16
-8
6
Outrights of Belgian Jupiler Pro League for now
St. Liege: 1.25% Leuven: 0.43%
Last Results with these Odds
Standard Liège - the odds 2.25 are the expected chance of winning is 42.46%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.
Oud-Heverlee Leuven - the odds 3.15 are the expected chance of winning is 30.33%, but this team recently wins 40% of matches with these odds.