Match Info

Jupiler Pro League - Conference League Group - Round 32

Date: 11 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Maurice Dufrasnestadion (Liège)

Referee: De Cremer W. (Bel)

Where to Watch on TV:


Belgium	Sporza, Sporza


	Standard Liège		Westerlo

	1	X	2
	2.35	3.25	2.8	Watch
	2.4	3.15	3	Watch
	2.46	3.35	3.13
	2.42	3.32	2.96	Watch
	2.38	3.1	2.8
	2.5	3.46	2.93	Watch
	2.45	3.35	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.42 ↓ (2.52)	3.28 ↓ (3.45)	2.9 ↑ (2.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Standard Liège
38.9%

Draw
28.7%

Westerlo
32.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.9%

27.7%

34.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.6%

27.9%

34.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Standard Liège has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Westerlo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Standard Liège than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Westerlo than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	55.6%	11.1%

Standard Liège - Westerlo Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Standard will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Westerlo will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 55.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 23.1% – 88.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Pirard L. (G) 25. Hautekiet I. 4. Bates D. 24. Homawoo J. 18. Lawrence H. 94. Nielsen C. 23. Ilaimaharitra M. (C) 3. Mortensen G. 11. Abid A. 10. Eckert Ayensa D. 17. Said R.	99. Jungdal A. (G) 22. Reynolds B. 40. Bayram E. 33. Neustadter R. 4. Lapage A. 34. Haspolat D. (C) 46. Piedfort A. 38. Saito S. 13. Sakamoto I. 77. Alcocer J. 90. Nacho
Substitutes
29. Dierckx D. 35. Dizdarevic B. (G) 27. El Hankouri M. 8. Mehssatou Sepulveda N. 19. Mitongo R. 7. Mohr T. 26. Nguene B. 59. Nkada T. 33. Spoden C.	11. Bohamdi-Kamoni N. 29. Goure F. 23. Mbamba-Muanda L. 6. Nsiala C. 28. Ourega D. 10. Patrao A. 8. Sydorchuk S. 39. Van den Keybus T. 30. Van Langendonck K. (G)
Coaches
Euvrard V.	Charai I.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Standard won 1.

Standard is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Westerlo has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

There will not play in Standard: Assengue S. (Muscle Injury) Calut A. (Muscle Injury) Fossey M. (Hamstring Injury)

There will not play in Westerlo: Bujupi E. (Knee Injury) Destan E. (Knee Injury) Laalaoui R. (Muscle Injury) Sayyadmanesh A. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Standard: Teuma T. (Calf Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Standard won 3 matches, drew 10 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 25:31. (average 1.3:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Standard won 2 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:10. (average 1.2:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	St. Liege	7	3	2	2	13:12	1	11
10	Westerlo	7	3	1	3	15:16	-1	10

Last Results with these Odds

Standard Liège - the odds 2.52 are the expected chance of winning is 37.92%, but this team recently wins 11% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Standard Liège
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
04.04.26	Oud-Heverlee Leuven - Standard Liège	1:3 ✺
22.03.26	Standard Liège - Westerlo	0:0 ✺
15.03.26	Royal Antwerp - Standard Liège	1:1 ✺
08.03.26	Zulte Waregem - Standard Liège	0:1 ✺
27.02.26	Standard Liège - RAAL La Louvière	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.5 WTTWT
- KVC Westerlo
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
05.04.26	Westerlo - Charleroi	2:0 ✺
22.03.26	Standard Liège - Westerlo	0:0 ✺
14.03.26	Westerlo - Club Brugge	1:2 ✺
07.03.26	Oud-Heverlee Leuven - Westerlo	0:1 ✺
01.03.26	Westerlo - Saint-Gilloise	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.9 WTLWT

Latest Head to Head

Belgian Jupiler Pro League
22.03.26	Standard Liège - Westerlo	0:0
21.09.25	Westerlo - Standard Liège	0:2
24.05.25	Westerlo - Standard Liège	0:0
19.04.25	Standard Liège - Westerlo	1:1
09.02.25	Westerlo - Standard Liège	4:2
28.09.24	Standard Liège - Westerlo	1:2
20.04.24	Westerlo - Standard Liège	3:3

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