The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Standard Liège 18.9%
Draw 23.2%
Benfica 57.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
18.3%
22.6%
59.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
15.1%
18.6%
71.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Standard Liège has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)
Benfica has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Standard Liège than the current prediction. (-3.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Benfica than the current prediction. (+13.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Benfica could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
10.4%
11.9%
77.6%
Standard Liège - Benfica Predictions
Users Predictions:
67 users predict this event. Standard will win (votes: 7 - 10.4%). Benfica will win (votes: 52 - 77.6%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 11.9%). Confidence interval (95%) for Benfica: 67.6% – 87.6%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Preview
Limited number of spectators.
Standard has not chance of round of 32, has not chance of round of 16, has not chance of qtrs, has not chance of semis, has not chance of final, has not chance of win league.
Benfica was already of round of 32, has a good chance of round of 16 (52%), has a chance of qtrs (26%), has a small chance of semis (13%), has a small chance of final (6%), has a very small chance of win league (3%).
Recent matches Standard is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Benfica is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Standard could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match Benfica is a favorite.
Last 1 head-to-head matches Standard won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-3.