The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Benfica 79.2%
Draw 13%
Lech Poznań 7.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
75.2%
15.5%
9.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Benfica has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)
Lech Poznań has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
75.4%
5.3%
19.3%
Benfica - Lech Poznań Predictions
Users Predictions:
57 users predict this event. Benfica will win (votes: 43 - 75.4%). Lech will win (votes: 11 - 19.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 5.3%). Confidence interval (95%) for Benfica: 64.2% – 86.6%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:0
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Preview
Limited number of spectators.
Benfica has a very good chance of round of 32 (98%), has a good chance of round of 16 (52%), has a chance of qtrs (25%), has a small chance of semis (12%), has a very small chance of final (5%), has a very small chance of win league (3%).
Lech has a very small chance of round of 32 (2%), has a very small chance of round of 16 (<1%), has a very small chance of qtrs (<1%), has a very small chance of semis (<1%), has a very small chance of final (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Benfica is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Recent matches Lech is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Benfica could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Recently Benfica have a series of guest games.
In this match Benfica is certain favorite.
Last 1 head-to-head matches Benfica won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-2.