Match Info

Jupiler Pro League - Round 3

Date: 22 August 2026, Saturday

Location: Bosuilstadion (Deurne)

Referee: Vergoote J. (Bel)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DAZN App, DAZN
Austria	Laola1
Belgium	DAZN Pro League 1
Bolivia	DAZN
Denmark	DAZN
Ecuador	DAZN App, DAZN
Finland	DAZN
Germany	Laola1
Mexico	DAZN App
Paraguay	DAZN App, DAZN
Peru	DAZN App
Sweden	DAZN
United-kingdom	DAZN
Uruguay	DAZN App, DAZN
Usa	SportsEngine Play
Venezuela	DAZN App, DAZN


	Royal Antwerp		Genk

	1	X	2
	3.10	3.60	2.05	Watch
	3.50	3.60	2.05
	3.40	3.40	2.08
	3.71	3.66	2.05
	3.27	3.55	2.15
	3.65	3.60	2.01
	3.56	3.56	2.06	Watch
	3.35	3.55	2.03
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.44 ↑ (2.95)	3.57 ↑ (3.35)	2.06 ↓ (2.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Royal Antwerp
27.5%

Draw
26.6%

Genk
46%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.9%

28.1%

39.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.6%

28.4%

40.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Royal Antwerp has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

Genk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Genk's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Royal Antwerp than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Genk than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Genk, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	37.5%	37.5%

Royal Antwerp - Genk Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Antwerp will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Genk will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Genk: 4% – 71%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Genk (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (1.71) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
41. Nozawa T. (G) 28. Schelfhout L. 4. Tsunashima Y. 20. Van Helden R. 24. Somers T. (C) 14. Dierckx X. 27. Tuypens E. 30. Scott C. 99. Narh L. 7. Valencia A. 9. Frey M.	28. Brughmans L. (G) 77. El Ouahdi Z. 6. Smets M. 44. Kongolo J. 18. Kayembe J. 21. Bangoura I. 8. Heynen B. (C) 10. Ito J. 11. Erenbjerg J. 30. Yokoyama A. 17. Durosinmi R.
Substitutes
44. Busi M. 81. Devalckeneer N. (G) 25. Fofana M. 11. Hairemans G. 80. Mejia C. 33. Porozo S. 17. Renders S. 77. Salah I. 16. Van Gelder L.	32. Adedeji-Sternberg N. 33. Afriyie J. 20. Amaro K. 23. Bibout A. 38. Heymans D. 26. Lawal T. (G) 19. Medina Y. 29. Mirisola R. 24. Sattlberger N.
Coaches
Compper M.	Thorup J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
16', 1 - 0, Valencia A. ⚽, Scott C. (A),
31', 1 - 1, Kongolo J. ⚽, Bangoura I. (A),
36', Compper M. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 3)
46', Narh L. ↓, Salah I. ↑,
46', Valencia A. ↓, Mejia C. ↑,
48', 1 - 2, Durosinmi R. ⚽, Erenbjerg J. (A),
57', 1 - 3, Yokoyama A. ⚽, Erenbjerg J. (A),
59', Dierckx X. ↓, Fofana M. ↑,
65', Schelfhout L. ↓, Porozo S. ↑,
69', Durosinmi R. ↓, Bibout A. ↑,
69', Yokoyama A. ↓, Afriyie J. ↑,
70', 1 - 4, Bibout A. ⚽, Afriyie J. (A),
75', Erenbjerg J. ↓, Heymans D. ↑,
78', Scott C. ↓, Van Gelder L. ↑,
78', Heymans D. 🟨,
80', 2 - 4, Tuypens E. ⚽, Somers T. (A),
81', Bangoura I. 🟨,
86', 3 - 4, Frey M. (Penalty Awarded),
88', 4 - 4, Frey M. ⚽, Mejia C. (A),
90', Ito J. ↓, Sattlberger N. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Antwerp won 2.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Genk is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

There will not play in Antwerp: Achihi O. (Inactive) Foulon D. (Inactive) Scott C. (Inactive)

There will not play in Genk: Akpan C. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Genk: Nkuba K. (Knee Injury) Palacios A. (Knee Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Antwerp won 7 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 26:28. (average 1.3:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Antwerp won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 17:14. (average 1.9:1.6).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Genk	8	3	3	2	16:12	4	12
13	Antwerp	7	2	1	4	11:15	-4	7

Last Results with these Odds

Royal Antwerp - the odds 2.95 are the expected chance of winning is 31.93%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Royal Antwerp FC
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
15.08.26	Kortrijk - Royal Antwerp	0:3 ✺
09.08.26	Royal Antwerp - Beveren	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
02.08.26	Leyton Orient - Royal Antwerp	2:1 ✺
01.08.26	Millwall - Royal Antwerp	1:0 ✺
24.07.26	Royal Antwerp - Olympiacos Piraeus	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 WWLLW
- Racing Genk
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
15.08.26	Genk - Westerlo	3:2 ✺
09.08.26	Zulte Waregem - Genk	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
02.08.26	Genk - Twente	2:1 ✺
29.07.26	Bayer Leverkusen - Genk	4:0 ✺
22.07.26	AZ Alkmaar - Genk	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Belgian Jupiler Pro League
19.05.26	Genk - Royal Antwerp	0:0
03.04.26	Royal Antwerp - Genk	1:2
07.12.25	Royal Antwerp - Genk	3:0
03.08.25	Genk - Royal Antwerp	1:1
27.04.25	Genk - Royal Antwerp	0:1
23.04.25	Royal Antwerp - Genk	1:1
26.12.24	Royal Antwerp - Genk	2:2

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