Match Info

POLAND: III Liga - Group II - Round 27

Date: 27 April 2024, Saturday


	Starogard Gdański		Polonia Środa Wielkopolska

	1	X	2
	6.26	4.75	1.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.26 ↑ (5.8)	4.75 ↓ (5.05)	1.35 (1.35)

The best margin for this event is 11.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Starogard Gdański
14.4%

Draw
18.9%

Polonia Środa Wielkopolska
66.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

15.5%

17.8%

66.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17%

16.2%

60.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Starogard Gdański has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

The chances for Polonia Środa Wielkopolska have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Starogard Gdański than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Polonia Środa Wielkopolska than the current prediction. (-5.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Polonia Środa Wielkopolska, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
19', 1 - 0, Mikula M. ⚽,
27', 1 - 1, Siedlecki B. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 3)
74', 1 - 2, ⚽,
80', 2 - 2, Slawinski D. ⚽,
89', 2 - 3, Drame J. ⚽,
90', 2 - 4, Gielda J. ⚽,

Preview

An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 8).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Starogard Gdański won 3.

Starogard Gdański has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Polonia Środa Wielkopolska is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Polonia Środa Wielkopolska is absolute favorite.

Last 13 head-to-head matches Starogard Gdański won 5 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 11-14.

Including matches at home between the teams Starogard Gdański won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5-9.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- KP Starogard Gdański
Polish Division 3 - Group II
20.04.24	Vineta Wolin - Starogard Gdański	0:0 ✺
13.04.24	Starogard Gdański - Zawisza Bydgoszcz	1:4 ✺
06.04.24	Błękitni Stargard Szczeciński - Starogard Gdański	5:1 ✺
30.03.24	Starogard Gdański - Stolem Gniewino	0:1 ✺
23.03.24	Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce - Starogard Gdański	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 TLLLL
- Polonia Środa Wielkopolska
Polish Division 3 - Group II
20.04.24	Polonia Środa Wielkopolska - Pogoń Szczecin II	1:2 ✺
13.04.24	Cartusia Kartuzy - Polonia Środa Wielkopolska	2:1 ✺
07.04.24	Polonia Środa Wielkopolska - Unia Swarzędz	1:0 ✺
30.03.24	Flota Świnoujście - Polonia Środa Wielkopolska	3:0 ✺
23.03.24	Polonia Środa Wielkopolska - Unia Solec Kujawski	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group II
30.09.23	Polonia Środa Wielkopolska - Starogard Gdański	0:0
29.04.23	Polonia Środa Wielkopolska - Starogard Gdański	1:2
24.09.22	Starogard Gdański - Polonia Środa Wielkopolska	2:1
09.04.22	Starogard Gdański - Polonia Środa Wielkopolska	1:1
03.09.21	Polonia Środa Wielkopolska - Starogard Gdański	0:1
25.06.21	Polonia Środa Wielkopolska - Starogard Gdański	2:0
15.05.21	Starogard Gdański - Polonia Środa Wielkopolska	0:4

Starogard Gdański - Polonia Środa Wielkopolska: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide