Match Info
III Liga - Group III - Round 10Date: 27 September 2025, SaturdayLocation: Miejski Stadion Piłkarski MOSiR - artificial grass (Częstochowa)
|
 |
|
 |
|
|
Skra Częstochowa |
|
Stal Jasień |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
1.33 |
4.85 |
6.5 |
|
 |
1.29 |
5.11 |
7.37 |
|
 |
1.38 |
5.15 |
5.98 |
 Watch |
 |
1.31 |
4.95 |
7.47 |
Watch |
 |
1.52 |
4 |
5 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.37 ↓
(1.47) |
4.81 ↑
(4.5) |
6.46 ↑
(4.5) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
- The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Skra Częstochowa
66.9% | Draw
19% | Stal Jasień
14.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Skra Częstochowa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Skra Częstochowa's performance.Stal Jasień has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Stal Jasień might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Skra Częstochowa than the current prediction. (-2.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stal Jasień than the current prediction. (+4.6%)Skra Częstochowa - Stal Jasień Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 3', 0 - 1, Kurianowicz K. ⚽,
- 8', 1 - 1, Nocon P. ⚽,
- 45+2', 2 - 1, Metlushko I. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (4 - 1)
- 65', 3 - 1, Golebiowski R. ⚽,
- 79', 4 - 1, Lukasiewicz J. ⚽,
- 81', 5 - 1, Jarek S. ⚽,
- 86', 5 - 2, ⚽,
- 90+4', 6 - 2, Golebiowski R. ⚽,
Preview
A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 11 and 17 in the zone Relegation).Skra Częstochowa has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).Stal Jasień's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).Skra Częstochowa may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times. In this match, Skra Częstochowa is considered a favorite. Recently, the teams have not faced each other.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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