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Current Win Probability
Start 34.1%
Draw 25.5%
Lillestrøm SK 40.4%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
38%
25.8%
36.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
38.5%
26.1%
35.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Start has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)
Lillestrøm SK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Start than the current prediction. (+4.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lillestrøm SK than the current prediction. (-5%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
0%
0%
Start - Lillestrøm SK Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
A high-stakes clash as a relegation-threatened team welcomes an elite contender (ranked 16th in the Relegation - OBOS - ligaen and 6th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Start won 1.
Each of the two teams is seeking greater consistency after recent ups and downs.
Start could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
In the last 18 head-to-head meetings, Start has recorded 4 wins, 4 draws, and 10 losses, with a goal aggregate of 20:32 (averaging 1.1:1.8 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Start against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, with 10:7 goals (averaging 1.3:0.9 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
6
Lillestrom
24
12
3
9
35:33
2
39
16
Start
24
5
4
15
26:54
-28
19
Last Results with these Odds
Lillestrøm SK - the odds 2.63 are the expected chance of winning is 36.18%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.