Match Info

NORWAY: Eliteserien - Round 7

Date: 12 May 2024, Sunday

Location: Åråsen Stadion (Lillestrøm)

Referee: Hansen T. (Nor)


	Lillestrøm SK		Brann

	1	X	2
	3.25	3.4	2.15	Watch
	3.2	3.6	2.05
	3.2	3.75	2.2	Watch
	3.45	3.85	2.1
	3.24	3.77	2.18
	3	3.6	2.05
	3.22	3.73	2.14	Watch
	3.25	3.45	2.12
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.23 ↑ (3.14)	3.64 ↓ (3.67)	2.12 ↓ (2.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lillestrøm SK
29.4%

Draw
26%

Brann
44.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.2%

25.9%

43.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30%

26.1%

44.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lillestrøm SK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Brann has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lillestrøm SK than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brann than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
37.5%	12.5%	50%

Lillestrøm SK - Brann Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Lillestrøm will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Brann will win (votes: 4 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Brann: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Hedenstad M. (G) 16. Charles U. 28. Gabrielsen R. 3. Roseth M. 64. Larsson E. 7. Ibrahimaj Y. 18. Karlin A. 23. Asen G. (C) 15. Knudtzon E. 10. Olsen T. 17. Kitolano E.	1. Dyngeland M. (G) 13. Crone S. 3. Knudsen F. 6. Sery Larsen J. 21. Kristiansen R. 10. Kornvig E. 19. Nilsen S. (C) 8. Myhre F. 14. Mathisen U. 20. Heggebo A. 16. Blomberg O.
Substitutes
11. Elkaer F. 30. Foss S. 90. Furaha E. S. 4. Garnas E. B. 1. Hagerup S. (G) 24. Lucky E. 8. Lundemo M. 33. Skogvold H. 19. Tonnesen K.	9. Castro N. 26. Fauske Helland E. 2. Hellan M. 36. Johansen E. (G) 18. Kartum S. 17. Soltvedt J. 7. Warming M.
Coaches
Georgson A.	Horneland E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
8', Blomberg O. 🟨,
35', Gabrielsen R. 🟨,
43', Roseth M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Larsson E. ↓, Tonnesen K. ↑,
46', Knudsen F. ↓, Soltvedt J. ↑,
54', Mathisen U. ↓, Castro N. ↑,
60', 0 - 1, Nilsen S. ⚽, Soltvedt J. (A),
64', Karlin A. ↓, Lundemo M. ↑,
64', Knudtzon E. ↓, Skogvold H. ↑,
68', 0 - 2, Soltvedt J. ⚽, Myhre F. (A),
73', Kornvig E. 🟨,
73', Roseth M. 🟨,
77', Kitolano E. ↓, Garnas E. B. ↑,
80', Skogvold H. ↓, Lucky E. ↑,

Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 12 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Lillestrøm won 0.

At the moment teams are feeling good and ready to play.

Lillestrøm could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Lillestrøm have a series of guest games.

Brann will have a poor advantage in this game.

There will not play in Lillestrøm: Ranger L. (Injury)

There will not play in Brann: Pedersen T. (Injury) Sande M. (Injury) Torsvik J. (Injury) Wassberg N. (Injury)

There are questionable in Lillestrøm: Bolly M. (Injury) Solberg E. (Injury)

Last 20 head-to-head matches Lillestrøm won 6 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 28-34.

Including matches at home between the teams Lillestrøm won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 18-19.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lillestrøm SK
Norwegian NM Cup
09.05.24	Strømsgodset - Lillestrøm SK	3:4 ET ✺
Norwegian Eliteserien
05.05.24	Sarpsborg 08 - Lillestrøm SK	1:0 ✺
Norwegian NM Cup
01.05.24	Bodø Glimt - Lillestrøm SK	2:4 ✺
Norwegian Eliteserien
28.04.24	Lillestrøm SK - Hamarkameratene	1:1 ✺
Norwegian NM Cup
24.04.24	Strømmen - Lillestrøm SK	4:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.2 WLWTW
- SK Brann
Norwegian Eliteserien
04.05.24	Brann - Rosenborg	3:0 ✺
Norwegian NM Cup
01.05.24	Levanger - Brann	1:0 ✺
Norwegian Eliteserien
28.04.24	KFUM-Kameratene Oslo - Brann	0:0 ✺
21.04.24	Brann - Odd	2:0 ✺
17.04.24	Brann - Hamarkameratene	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 WLTWW

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Eliteserien
01.10.23	Lillestrøm SK - Brann	0:2
11.06.23	Brann - Lillestrøm SK	2:2
Norwegian NM Cup
20.05.23	Brann - Lillestrøm SK	2:0
Norwegian Eliteserien
11.09.21	Lillestrøm SK - Brann	2:3
30.06.21	Brann - Lillestrøm SK	1:1
01.09.19	Lillestrøm SK - Brann	1:3
23.06.19	Brann - Lillestrøm SK	1:0

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