Match Info

OBOS-ligaen - Round 15

Date: 30 July 2025, Wednesday

Location: Gjemselund Stadion (Kongsvinger)

Referee: Hauge S. (Nor)

Where to Watch on TV:


Norway	TV2 Play


	Kongsvinger		Start

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.8	3.7	Watch
	1.83	3.8	3.5
	1.82	3.95	3.7	Watch
	1.91	4.1	3.73
	1.92	3.84	3.46	Watch
	1.85	3.6	3.5
	1.83	4.1	3.79
	1.72	4.25	4.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.84 ↑ (1.7)	3.93 ↓ (4.25)	3.69 ↓ (3.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kongsvinger
50.8%

Draw
23.8%

Start
25.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.1%

21.7%

24.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.5%

22.3%

23.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kongsvinger has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

Start has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kongsvinger than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Start than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	0%	40%

Kongsvinger - Start Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Kongsvinger will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Start will win (votes: 2 - 40%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Kongsvinger (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
93. Gorodovoy A. (G) 2. Nilsson J. 5. Holme F. 12. Mbow M. 22. Langrekken L. 8. Grundt J. 6. Holter H. 27. Dybevik A. (C) 9. Haren L. 23. Vinjor M. 11. Williams N.	1. Larsen J. (G) 4. Hansen S. 6. Norheim J. 3. Ujkani A. 2. Palerud F. 11. Schulze E. (C) 10. Mvoue S. 18. Ugland M. 16. Strannegard T. 14. Soomets M. 20. Lorentzen H.
Substitutes
28. Christiansen R. 25. Damhaug M. 71. Ekerhaugen S. (G) 3. Fjellman P. 13. Flores M. 17. Gjerstrom M. 15. Lysell V. 21. Lysgard D. 20. Sandstad A.	19. Dashaev D. 30. Gausdal L. 13. Griesbeck S. 5. Jebali O. 21. Sjokvist S. 24. Strand-Kolbjornsen S. (G)
Coaches
Vennberg J.	Karadas A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
19', 0 - 1, Schulze E. ⚽, Lorentzen H. (A),
35', Mbow M. ↓, Lysgard D. ↑,
45+2', 0 - 2, Lorentzen H. ⚽, Schulze E. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Holter H. 🟨,
54', Holter H. ↓, Gjerstrom M. ↑,
54', Vinjor M. ↓, Flores M. ↑,
61', 0 - 3, Lorentzen H. ⚽, Soomets M. (A),
77', Schulze E. ↓, Gausdal L. ↑,
84', Grundt J. ↓, Sandstad A. ↑,
84', Langrekken L. ↓, Fjellman P. ↑,
85', Ugland M. ↓, Dashaev D. ↑,
86', Dybevik A. 🟨,
87', Mvoue S. ↓, Sjokvist S. ↑,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ OBOS~ligaen (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Eliteserien).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kongsvinger won 4.

Now, both teams are in good form.

Start may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Kongsvinger is considered a favorite.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Kongsvinger won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 20:15. (average 1.8:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Kongsvinger won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 11:7. (average 2.2:1.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kongsvinger IL Toppfotball
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
26.07.25	Mjøndalen - Kongsvinger	1:1 ✺
28.06.25	Kongsvinger - Raufoss	2:2 ✺
21.06.25	Egersund - Kongsvinger	2:2 ✺
18.06.25	Kongsvinger - Aalesunds	3:0 ✺
14.06.25	Kongsvinger - Sogndal	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 TTTWW
- IK Start
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
26.07.25	Start - Lillestrøm SK	0:3 ✺
Club Friendly
19.07.25	Skeid - Start	1:3 ✺
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
28.06.25	Odd - Start	2:2 ✺
21.06.25	Start - Stabæk	5:1 ✺
18.06.25	Ranheim - Start	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 LWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Adeccoligaen
09.11.24	Start - Kongsvinger	1:4
27.04.24	Kongsvinger - Start	3:0
08.10.23	Start - Kongsvinger	2:1
02.07.23	Kongsvinger - Start	2:1
13.11.22	Start - Kongsvinger	0:1
14.08.22	Kongsvinger - Start	2:2
26.06.22	Start - Kongsvinger	0:1

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