Match Info

League One - Round 29

Date: 14 March 2026, Saturday

Location: Balmoor (Peterhead)


	Peterhead		Stenhousemuir

	1	X	2
	2.8	3	2.3
	2.78	3.05	2.48
	3	3.1	2.44
	2.51	3.52	2.58	Watch
	2.88	2.9	2.5
	2.92	2.94	2.4	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.82 ↑ (2.74)	3.09 ↓ (3.13)	2.45 ↑ (2.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Peterhead
32.7%

Draw
29.8%

Stenhousemuir
37.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33%

28.9%

38.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.5%

29.4%

37.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Peterhead has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Stenhousemuir has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Peterhead than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

The ML Model estimate for Stenhousemuir aligns with the current prediction.

Peterhead - Stenhousemuir Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Newman J. (G) 15. Steele A. 5. Brown J. (C) 46. Kerr J. 7. McGuffie C. 19. Pawlett P. 21. Forrest D. 24. James H. 17. Smith C. 10. Shanks K. 77. Barry M.	1. Jamieson D. (G) 2. Meechan R. 4. Buchanan G. (C) 5. Jamieson N. 14. Bilham K. 17. Anderson M. 23. McGill S. 22. Whyte O. 7. O'Reilly E. 9. Aitken M. 25. Ritchie-Hosler K.
Substitutes
18. Brown J. 14. Carnwath A. 3. Duffy F. 27. Jones R. 20. McGinn N. 13. McKelvie L. (G) 16. Ross M. 22. Ross S. 2. Strachan D.	12. Cameron Z. 15. Carrick D. 21. Ewen K. 6. Graham A. 10. Gray F. 34. Lyle C. (G) 3. Simpson O. 11. Taylor R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
34', O'Reilly E. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
48', Anderson M. 🟨,
55', Kerr J. ↓, Strachan D. ↑,
64', O'Reilly E. ↓, Taylor R. ↑,
64', Ritchie-Hosler K. ↓, Gray F. ↑,
64', Anderson M. ↓, Graham A. ↑,
64', Pawlett P. ↓, Ross S. ↑,
75', Gray F. 🟨,
77', Bilham K. ↓, Carrick D. ↑,
78', Buchanan G. 🟨,
87', Steele A. 🟨,
89', 0 - 1, Taylor R. ⚽,
90+1', Forrest D. ↓, Jones R. ↑,
90+1', Barry M. ↓, Ross M. ↑,
90+2', Brown J. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Peterhead won 0.

Now, both teams are in good form.

Stenhousemuir may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Peterhead won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 22:34. (average 1.1:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Peterhead won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 7:14. (average 0.8:1.6).

Outrights of Scottish League One for now

Peterhead: 0.32%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Peterhead	9	2	1	6	7:16	-9	7

Last Results with these Odds

Stenhousemuir - the odds 2.38 are the expected chance of winning is 38.07%, but this team recently wins 55% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Peterhead
Scottish League One
10.03.26	Peterhead - Alloa Athletic	3:1 ✺
07.03.26	Cove Rangers - Peterhead	2:1 ✺
28.02.26	Queen of the South - Peterhead	0:2 ✺
21.02.26	Peterhead - East Fife	3:1 ✺
14.02.26	Kelty Hearts - Peterhead	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.5 WLWWT
- Stenhousemuir
Scottish League One
07.03.26	Queen of the South - Stenhousemuir	1:1 ✺
03.03.26	Hamilton Academical - Stenhousemuir	0:1 ✺
28.02.26	Stenhousemuir - Cove Rangers	1:0 ✺
21.02.26	Inverness - Stenhousemuir	1:1 ✺
14.02.26	Stenhousemuir - Montrose	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 TWWTT

Latest Head to Head

Scottish League One
31.01.26	Stenhousemuir - Peterhead	2:2
22.11.25	Peterhead - Stenhousemuir	1:4
20.09.25	Stenhousemuir - Peterhead	3:1
Scottish League Cup
26.07.25	Stenhousemuir - Peterhead	1:0
Scottish League Two
23.03.24	Stenhousemuir - Peterhead	0:0
27.01.24	Peterhead - Stenhousemuir	2:1
14.11.23	Stenhousemuir - Peterhead	2:0

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