The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Stirling Albion 32.1%
Draw 26.7%
Stranraer 41.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
39%
26.5%
34.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
37.1%
25.2%
36.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Stirling Albion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Stirling Albion's form might have worsened.
Stranraer has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Stranraer's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stirling Albion than the current prediction. (+5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stranraer than the current prediction. (-4.9%)
Stirling Albion - Stranraer Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. McNeil A. (G) 5. McNab R. 23. Waugh K. 30. Crane C. 7. Hepburn B. 22. Hutchinson B. 14. Mullin J. (C) 6. Banner K. 26. Cameron Z. 29. Allan J. 17. Fyfe L.
1. Currie M. (G) 2. Dunne E. 4. McLuckie M. 21. Gillie L. 3. Ecrepont F. 14. Bruce Z. 8. Quigg A. 17. McManus D. 24. Mason S. 12. Traynor A. 16. Dobbie L. (C)
Substitutes
16. Denham S. 25. Dobbie D. 31. Duffy R. (G) 24. Gould A. 15. Laird A. 9. McLean R. 20. Raine R. 2. Thomas M. 11. Wright H.
77. Clelland D. 9. Foster R. 11. Healy A. 13. Henderson E. (G) 15. Hughes R. 18. Lynch E. 6. Stuart J. . Trialist
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 2)
28', 0 - 1, Dobbie L. ⚽,
33', 0 - 2, Dunne E. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Cameron Z. ↓, Dobbie D. ↑,
48', 1 - 2, Allan J. ⚽,
56', McManus D. ↓, Hughes R. ↑,
58', 2 - 2, Dobbie D. ⚽,
60', Dobbie D. 🟨,
61', Allan J. ↓, McLean R. ↑,
69', Traynor A. ↓, Healy A. ↑,
69', Mason S. ↓, Clelland D. ↑,
73', Banner K. 🟨,
74', Hepburn B. ↓, Laird A. ↑,
81', Waugh K. ↓, Denham S. ↑,
85', McNab R. 🟨,
87', 🟨,
89', Bruce Z. ↓, Stuart J. ↑,
90', Stuart J. 🟨,
Preview
Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 5 and 7).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Stirling won 2.
Stirling has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Stranraer's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Stirling won 8 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 31:24. (average 1.6:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Stirling won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 18:10. (average 1.6:0.9).