Match Info

Besta deild karla - Relegation Group - Round 1

Date: 13 September 2026, Sunday

Location: Samsung völlurinn (Gardabaer)

Where to Watch on TV:


Iceland	SÝN Sport Ísland 3
World	OneFootball TV


	Stjarnan		ÍBV Vestmannaeyar

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.78	4.00	3.50
	1.72	3.95	3.50	Watch
	1.82	4.39	3.84
	1.94	4.26	3.31
	1.75	4.30	3.80
	1.80	4.17	3.65	Watch
	1.77	4.20	3.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.8 ↑ (1.68)	4.18 ↓ (4.38)	3.61 ↓ (3.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stjarnan
51.9%

Draw
22.3%

ÍBV Vestmannaeyar
25.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.2%

21.1%

23.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.7%

20.2%

22.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stjarnan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

ÍBV Vestmannaeyar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stjarnan than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Stjarnan, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for ÍBV Vestmannaeyar than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

Stjarnan - ÍBV Vestmannaeyar Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Olafsson A. (G) 14. Hauksson B. 5. Kristjansson G. (C) 3. Kjeldsen G. 10. Matthiasson D. 29. Hauksson A. 18. Nokkvason G. 7. Eggertsson O. 23. Waren B. 11. Ingason B. 22. Atlason E.	33. Petersen A. (G) 23. Kristinsson A. 22. Runarsson E. 4. Edeland M. 26. Fridriksson F. 11. Vokes A. 25. Hilmarsson A. (C) 8. Gunnarsson B. 30. Valor V. 10. Valgeirsson V. 67. Sowe O.
Substitutes
28. Alexandersson C. 1. Bergmann Gylfason D. (G) 99. Bjarnason A. 37. Bjornsson B. 27. Dankerlui D. 6. Ingimarsson S. T. 19. Leifsson A. 21. Turay I. 94. Vilhjalmsson A.	17. Gautason E. 9. Jeffs L. 5. Kristjansson S. 28. Magnusson H. 42. Pisco 16. Sigursveinsson S. 80. Thordarson H. 1. Vidrih I. (G)
Coaches
Hauksson J.	Linta A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
14', Sowe O. ↓, Jeffs L. ↑,
21', Kristinsson A. 🟨,
28', 1 - 0, Waren B. ⚽, Atlason E. (A),
30', Nokkvason G. 🟨,
32', 2 - 0, Waren B. ⚽, Nokkvason G. (A),
43', Kristjansson G. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
65', Ingason B. ↓, Turay I. ↑,
73', Valgeirsson V. ↓, Thordarson H. ↑,
76', Atlason E. ↓, Bjarnason A. ↑,
76', Hauksson A. ↓, Ingimarsson S. T. ↑,
80', Linta A. 🟨,
85', Vokes A. ↓, Kristjansson S. ↑,
85', Waren B. ↓, Bjornsson B. ↑,
85', Kristinsson A. ↓, Pisco ↑,
85', Matthiasson D. ↓, Alexandersson C. ↑,
88', Runarsson E. 🟨,

Preview

ÍBV is Besta deild karla (Relegation Group )

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Stjarnan won 1.

Stjarnan is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

ÍBV is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Stjarnan may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Stjarnan is the team to beat.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Stjarnan won 11 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 39:27. (average 2:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Stjarnan won 9 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 30:16. (average 2.5:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UMF Stjarnan
Icelandic Besta-deild karla
06.09.26	Stjarnan - ÍBV Vestmannaeyar	2:2 ✺
31.08.26	Breiðablik - Stjarnan	0:2 ✺
23.08.26	Stjarnan - Thor Akureyri	4:2 ✺
17.08.26	Fram - Stjarnan	3:1 ✺
09.08.26	Stjarnan - Keflavík	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 TWWLW
- ÍBV Vestmannaeyar
Icelandic Besta-deild karla
06.09.26	Stjarnan - ÍBV Vestmannaeyar	2:2 ✺
29.08.26	ÍBV Vestmannaeyar - Thor Akureyri	0:1 ✺
23.08.26	Keflavík - ÍBV Vestmannaeyar	1:0 ✺
16.08.26	ÍBV Vestmannaeyar - Akraness	1:3 ✺
09.08.26	Vikingur Reykjavik - ÍBV Vestmannaeyar	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 TLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Icelandic Besta-deild karla
06.09.26	Stjarnan - ÍBV Vestmannaeyar	2:2
21.06.26	ÍBV Vestmannaeyar - Stjarnan	2:1
14.07.25	ÍBV Vestmannaeyar - Stjarnan	1:0
28.04.25	Stjarnan - ÍBV Vestmannaeyar	2:3
Icelandic League Cup
08.02.25	Stjarnan - ÍBV Vestmannaeyar	3:2
Icelandic Besta-deild karla
05.08.23	ÍBV Vestmannaeyar - Stjarnan	0:2
13.05.23	Stjarnan - ÍBV Vestmannaeyar	4:0

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