Match Info

ICELAND: Besta deild karla - Round 15

Date: 21 July 2024, Sunday

Location: Stjornuvollur (Gardabaer)

Referee: Haflidason Oddur G. (Ice)

Where to Watch on TV:


World	Onefootball app


	Stjarnan		Fylkir

	1	X	2
	1.68	4.2	3.8
	1.68	4.35	4	Watch
	1.55	4.87	4.93
	1.71	4.72	3.97	Watch
	1.65	4.2	3.7
	1.7	4.45	3.96	Watch
	1.71	4.3	3.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↑ (1.55)	4.44 ↓ (4.59)	4.02 ↓ (4.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stjarnan
55.9%

Draw
21%

Fylkir
23.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.1%

20.3%

19.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.3%

21.1%

18.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stjarnan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

Fylkir has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stjarnan than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Stjarnan, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fylkir than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
69.2%	15.4%	15.4%

Stjarnan - Fylkir Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Stjarnan will win (votes: 9 - 69.2%). Fylkir will win (votes: 2 - 15.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 15.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Stjarnan: 44.1% – 94.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Olafsson A. (G) 2. Aegisson H. 37. Brink H. O. 5. Kristjansson G. (C) 32. Orvarsson O. 6. Ingimarsson S. T. 11. Birgisson A. 80. Thorkelsson R. 30. Kjartansson K. 10. Halldorsson H. 35. Ingason H.	1. Helgason O. (G) 17. Eythorsson B. 5. Stefansson O. 24. Jorundsson S. 27. Asthorsson A. 9. Praest M. 8. Sveinsson R. (C) 70. Tyrfingsson G. 80. Thordarson H. 22. Stefansson O. 18. Gunnarsson N.
Substitutes
22. Atlason E. 7. Eggertsson O. 28. Gudlaugsson B. 24. Jonsson S. 19. Matthiasson D. 13. Rosenorn M. (G) 15. Valdimarsson T.	2. Eythorsson A. 19. Gislason A. 21. Gudbjornsson A. 11. Hafthorsson T. G. 30. Helgason H. (G) 3. Ingvarsson U. 25. Vikingsson T.
Coaches
Elisabetarson J.	Sigmundsson R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
19', Stefansson O. ↓, Hafthorsson T. G. ↑,
22', Birgisson A. 🟨,
28', Eythorsson B. 🟨,
29', Kjartansson K. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Aegisson H. ↓, Valdimarsson T. ↑,
47', Ingimarsson S. T. 🟨,
54', Kristjansson G. 🟨,
62', Brink H. O. 🟨,
67', Thorkelsson R. ↓, Atlason E. ↑,
67', Brink H. O. ↓, Eggertsson O. ↑,
72', Tyrfingsson G. ↓, Vikingsson T. ↑,
72', Gunnarsson N. ↓, Ingvarsson U. ↑,
76', Birgisson A. ↓, Gudlaugsson B. ↑,
80', 1 - 0, Atlason E. ⚽, Halldorsson H. (A),
85', 2 - 0, Ingason H. ⚽, Eggertsson O. (A),
90+2', Valdimarsson T. 🟨,
90+2', Ingason H. ↓, Matthiasson D. ↑,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UMF Stjarnan
UEFA Europa Conference League
18.07.24	Linfield - Stjarnan	3:2 ✺
11.07.24	Stjarnan - Linfield	2:0 ✺
Icelandic Besta-deild karla
06.07.24	KR Reykjavík - Stjarnan	1:1 ✺
Icelandic Cup
03.07.24	Vikingur Reykjavik - Stjarnan	2:1 penalties ✺
Icelandic Besta-deild karla
27.06.24	Stjarnan - Vikingur Reykjavik	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 LWTLL
- Fylkir Reykjavik
Icelandic Besta-deild karla
15.07.24	Fylkir - Akraness	3:0 ✺
06.07.24	Valur - Fylkir	4:0 ✺
27.06.24	KR Reykjavík - Fylkir	2:2 ✺
23.06.24	FH Hafnarfjordur - Fylkir	3:1 ✺
18.06.24	Fylkir - Vestri	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 WLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Icelandic Besta-deild karla
29.04.24	Fylkir - Stjarnan	0:1
14.08.23	Fylkir - Stjarnan	0:4
22.05.23	Stjarnan - Fylkir	2:2
23.08.21	Stjarnan - Fylkir	2:0
30.05.21	Fylkir - Stjarnan	1:1
Icelandic League Cup
20.03.21	Stjarnan - Fylkir	4:2
Icelandic Besta-deild karla
21.08.20	Fylkir - Stjarnan	1:1

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