Match Info

EUROPE: Conference League - Qualification - 1/8-finals

Date: 11 July 2024, Thursday

Location: Stjornuvollur (Gardabaer)

Referee: Griffith I. A. (Wal)

Where to Watch on TV:


Iceland	Stod 2 Sport 5
United-kingdom	Solidsport TV


	Stjarnan		Linfield

	1	X	2
	2	3.6	3	Watch
	2	3.7	3
	2.05	3.75	3.1
	2.06	3.98	3.25
	2.02	3.88	3.2	Watch
	1.95	3.7	3.2
	2	3.85	3.27	Watch
	2.03	3.7	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.01 ↑ (1.75)	3.77 ↑ (3.63)	3.16 ↓ (4.18)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stjarnan
46%

Draw
24.6%

Linfield
29.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.7%

25.4%

22%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stjarnan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Stjarnan's form might have worsened.

Linfield has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Linfield's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
61.1%	16.7%	22.2%

Stjarnan - Linfield Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Stjarnan will win (votes: 11 - 61.1%). Linfield will win (votes: 4 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Stjarnan: 38.6% – 83.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Rosenorn M. (G) 4. Omarsson O. 2. Aegisson H. 5. Kristjansson G. (C) 6. Ingimarsson S. T. 32. Orvarsson O. 80. Thorkelsson R. 35. Ingason H. 30. Kjartansson K. 7. Eggertsson O. 22. Atlason E.	1. Johns Ch. (G) 37. McKay R. 2. Roscoe S. 4. Whiteside S. 27. McGee E. 16. Ballantyne C. 5. Shields C. (C) 8. McClean K. 9. Cooper J. 17. McKee C. 7. Millar K.
Substitutes
17. Adolphsson A. 11. Birgisson A. 37. Brink H. O. 41. Gudjonsson A. M. 28. Gudlaugsson B. 55. Gudmundsson E. 8. Gunnarsson J. 10. Halldorsson H. 9. Laxdal D. 19. Matthiasson D. 12. Olafsson A. (G) 15. Valdimarsson T.	36. Annett R. 21. Archer J. 66. Chapman C. 29. Fitzpatrick M. 12. McBrien D. 34. McCullough D. 22. Mulgrew J. 67. Orr M. 51. Walsh D. (G)
Coaches
Elisabetarson J.	Healy D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
20', Whiteside S. 🟨,
22', 1 - 0, Atlason E. ⚽,
25', Kjartansson K. 🟨,
27', Shields C. (Pen),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
60', 2 - 0, Atlason E. ⚽,
66', Kjartansson K. ↓, Laxdal D. ↑,
73', McKee C. ↓, Fitzpatrick M. ↑,
77', Ingason H. ↓, Halldorsson H. ↑,
77', Ballantyne C. ↓, Archer J. ↑,
87', Eggertsson O. ↓, Brink H. O. ↑,

Preview

1st leg.

Stjarnan is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Linfield could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Stjarnan will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UMF Stjarnan
Icelandic Besta-deild karla
06.07.24	KR Reykjavík - Stjarnan	1:1 ✺
Icelandic Cup
03.07.24	Vikingur Reykjavik - Stjarnan	2:1 penalties ✺
Icelandic Besta-deild karla
27.06.24	Stjarnan - Vikingur Reykjavik	0:4 ✺
22.06.24	HK Kópavogur - Stjarnan	4:3 ✺
18.06.24	Stjarnan - FH Hafnarfjordur	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 TLLLW
- Linfield FC
Club Friendly
06.07.24	Linfield - Galway United	1:0 ✺
Northern Irish Cup
04.05.24	Cliftonville - Linfield	3:1 ET ✺
Northern Irish Premiership
27.04.24	Linfield - Cliftonville	1:1 ✺
22.04.24	Linfield - Larne	1:1 ✺
16.04.24	Linfield - Coleraine	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 WLTTT

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