Match Info

Icelandic Cup - 1/8-finals

Date: 13 May 2026, Wednesday

Location: Samsung völlurinn (Gardabaer)


	Stjarnan		KR Reykjavík

	1	X	2
	3.85	4.65	1.57
	4.02	4.9	1.62
	4.35	4.69	1.54	Watch
	4	4.8	1.53
	4.35	4.6	1.53	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.11 ↑ (3.67)	4.73 ↑ (4.26)	1.56 ↓ (1.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.50

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stjarnan
22.2%

Draw
19.3%

KR Reykjavík
58.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.7%

21.3%

54%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.3%

20.9%

55%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stjarnan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

KR Reykjavík has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stjarnan than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for KR Reykjavík than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Stjarnan - KR Reykjavík Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. KR Reykjavík will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Olafsson A. (G) 22. Atlason E. 7. Eggertsson O. 8. Gunnarsson J. 11. Ingason B. 6. Ingimarsson S. T. 5. Kristjansson G. 19. Matthiasson D. 18. Nokkvason G. 32. Orvarsson O. 21. Turay I.	12. Georgsson H. (G) 19. Cosic A. 21. Eyjolfsson G. 15. Gudbrandsson G. 30. Karason S. 77. Kjartansson O. 14. Palmason A. 7. Palmason F. 9. Saebjornsson E. 11. Sigurdarson A. 26. Tomasson H.
Substitutes
1. Bergmann Gylfason D. (G) 99. Bjarnason A. 36. Bjornsson A. 17. Brink H. O. 33. Gardarsson B. 14. Hauksson B. 30. Martin M. A. D. 35. Saemundsson B. 4. Thorisson T.	20. Arnorsson T. 8. Geirsson S. 45. Gudmundsson G. 24. Heimisson B. F. 33. Ingimarsson S. 1. Ingolfsson S. (G) 17. Rae L. 18. Ragnarsson J. E. 28. Sigurdsson H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
7', 0 - 1, Saebjornsson E. ⚽,
11', 1 - 1, Atlason E. ⚽,
44', 2 - 1, Atlason E. ⚽,
45+6', 🟨,
45+7', Sigurdarson A. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Karason S. ↓, Rae L. ↑,
46', Palmason F. ↓, Sigurdsson H. ↑,
46', Eggertsson O. ↓, Brink H. O. ↑,
46', Turay I. ↓, Hauksson B. ↑,
59', Kristjansson G. 🟨,
64', Palmason A. ↓, Geirsson S. ↑,
74', Matthiasson D. 🟨,
79', Ingason B. ↓, Bjarnason A. ↑,
88', Gunnarsson J. 🟨,
88', Matthiasson D. ↓, Thorisson T. ↑,
90+2', 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Stjarnan won 2.

Stjarnan is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

KR Reykjavík is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Recently, Stjarnan has had a series of home games.

In this match, KR Reykjavík is seen as the favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Stjarnan won 9 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 31:32. (average 1.6:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Stjarnan won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 19:21. (average 1.7:1.9).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UMF Stjarnan
Icelandic Besta-deild karla
08.05.26	Stjarnan - KR Reykjavík	2:3 ✺
03.05.26	Stjarnan - Akraness	1:2 ✺
27.04.26	Stjarnan - Valur	2:4 ✺
23.04.26	Vikingur Reykjavik - Stjarnan	3:2 ✺
17.04.26	Stjarnan - FH Hafnarfjordur	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LLLLW
- KR Reykjavík
Icelandic Besta-deild karla
08.05.26	Stjarnan - KR Reykjavík	2:3 ✺
02.05.26	Valur - KR Reykjavík	1:4 ✺
27.04.26	KR Reykjavík - FH Hafnarfjordur	4:2 ✺
23.04.26	ÍBV Vestmannaeyar - KR Reykjavík	2:6 ✺
17.04.26	KR Reykjavík - Thor Akureyri	5:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Icelandic Besta-deild karla
08.05.26	Stjarnan - KR Reykjavík	2:3
25.08.25	KR Reykjavík - Stjarnan	1:2
29.05.25	Stjarnan - KR Reykjavík	4:2
Icelandic League Cup
09.03.25	Stjarnan - KR Reykjavík	1:3
Icelandic Besta-deild karla
06.07.24	KR Reykjavík - Stjarnan	1:1
Icelandic Cup
16.05.24	Stjarnan - KR Reykjavík	5:3
Icelandic Besta-deild karla
12.04.24	Stjarnan - KR Reykjavík	1:3

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