Match Info

NPL Premier Division - Round 11

Date: 20 September 2025, Saturday


	Stocksbridge Park Steels		Hebburn Town

	1	X	2
	2.22	3.35	2.72
	2.31	3.44	2.74
	1.49	3.97	6.64	Watch
	2.27	3.34	2.78
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.07 ↓ (2.57)	3.53 ↑ (3.25)	3.72 ↑ (2.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stocksbridge Park Steels
46.6%

Draw
27.4%

Hebburn Town
26%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35%

27.7%

37.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.7%

27.5%

37.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stocksbridge Park Steels has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Stocksbridge Park Steels's performance.

Hebburn Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Hebburn Town might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stocksbridge Park Steels than the current prediction. (-11.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Stocksbridge Park Steels that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hebburn Town than the current prediction. (+11.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Hebburn Town could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Stocksbridge Park Steels - Hebburn Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
6', 1 - 0, Morris J. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
49', 1 - 1, Posthill J. ⚽,
84', 1 - 2, Da Silva G. ⚽,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 21 in the zone Relegation and 14).

Stocksbridge is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Hebburn has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Recently, Stocksbridge has had a series of away games.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stocksbridge Park Steels
English NPL Premier Division
16.09.25	Bamber Bridge - Stocksbridge Park Steels	2:2 ✺
English FA Cup
13.09.25	Dunston UTS - Stocksbridge Park Steels	1:0 ✺
English NPL Premier Division
10.09.25	Stocksbridge Park Steels - Gainsborough Trinity	0:2 ✺
06.09.25	Stockton Town - Stocksbridge Park Steels	3:2 ✺
25.08.25	Guiseley - Stocksbridge Park Steels	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 TLLLT
- Hebburn Town
English NPL Premier Division
16.09.25	Hebburn Town - Workington	2:1 ✺
English FA Cup
13.09.25	Curzon Ashton - Hebburn Town	4:1 ✺
English NPL Premier Division
09.09.25	Morpeth Town - Hebburn Town	1:1 ✺
06.09.25	Hebburn Town - Hyde United	3:3 ✺
25.08.25	Whitby Town - Hebburn Town	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 WLTTW

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