Match Info

FA Cup - Qualification - Quarter-finals

Date: 13 September 2025, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Tameside Stadium (Ashton-under-Lyne) 🌤️ ...


	Curzon Ashton		Hebburn Town

	1	X	2
	1.8	4	3.2
	1.8	3.7	3.4
	1.8	4.05	3.45
	1.72	3.86	3.46
	1.06	11.04	22.70	Watch
	1.91	4.25	3.4	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↑ (1.63)	5.15 ↑ (4.08)	6.6 ↑ (4.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Curzon Ashton
63.2%

Draw
20.7%

Hebburn Town
16.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

56.1%

22.4%

21.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.9%

24.3%

19.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Curzon Ashton has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Curzon Ashton's performance.

Hebburn Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Hebburn Town might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Curzon Ashton than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hebburn Town than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

Curzon Ashton - Hebburn Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 1)
2nd Half (1 - 0)

Preview

Replayed if draw.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Curzon Ashton may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Curzon Ashton is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Curzon Ashton
English National League North
06.09.25	Bedford Town - Curzon Ashton	2:2 ✺
02.09.25	Curzon Ashton - Chorley	2:0 ✺
30.08.25	Curzon Ashton - Kidderminster Harriers	0:1 ✺
25.08.25	Buxton - Curzon Ashton	2:3 ✺
23.08.25	Curzon Ashton - Merthyr Town	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 TWLWL
- Hebburn Town
English NPL Premier Division
09.09.25	Morpeth Town - Hebburn Town	1:1 ✺
06.09.25	Hebburn Town - Hyde United	3:3 ✺
25.08.25	Whitby Town - Hebburn Town	0:2 ✺
23.08.25	Hebburn Town - Cleethorpes Town	2:1 ✺
16.08.25	Lancaster City - Hebburn Town	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 TTWWL

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hebburn Town
English National League North
31.10.26	Hebburn Town - Harborough Town	✺

Curzon Ashton - Hebburn Town