Match Info

NPL Premier Division - Round 13

Date: 11 October 2025, Saturday


	Stocksbridge Park Steels		Warrington Town

	1	X	2
	2.12	3.5	2.82
	1.99	3.39	3.47
	1.36	4.39	8.79	Watch
	2.16	3.35	2.97
	2.25	3.6	2.72
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.98 ↓ (2.42)	3.65 ↑ (3.6)	4.15 ↑ (2.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stocksbridge Park Steels
49.6%

Draw
26.9%

Warrington Town
23.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.2%

25%

37.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.3%

24.4%

38.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stocksbridge Park Steels has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Stocksbridge Park Steels's performance.

Warrington Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Warrington Town might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stocksbridge Park Steels than the current prediction. (-13.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Stocksbridge Park Steels that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Warrington Town than the current prediction. (+15.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Warrington Town could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Stocksbridge Park Steels - Warrington Town Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Stocksbridge (votes: 1 - 50%). Warrington (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
36', 1 - 0, Grzelak O. ⚽,
45', 2 - 0, O'Connor A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
82', 2 - 1, Bourne T. ⚽,

Preview

In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 18 and 19 in the zone Relegation).

Recent performances by Stocksbridge have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Warrington is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Warrington may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Last Results with these Odds

Warrington Town - the odds 2.39 are the expected chance of winning is 37.76%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stocksbridge Park Steels
English FA Trophy
07.10.25	Silsden - Stocksbridge Park Steels	1:2 penalties ✺
English NPL Premier Division
27.09.25	Stocksbridge Park Steels - Whitby Town	4:1 ✺
20.09.25	Stocksbridge Park Steels - Hebburn Town	1:2 ✺
16.09.25	Bamber Bridge - Stocksbridge Park Steels	2:2 ✺
English FA Cup
13.09.25	Dunston UTS - Stocksbridge Park Steels	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 WWLTL
- Warrington Town
English FA Trophy
04.10.25	Hyde United - Warrington Town	1:0 ✺
English NPL Premier Division
16.09.25	Prescot Cables - Warrington Town	1:1 ✺
09.09.25	Warrington Town - Rushall Olympic	0:0 ✺
06.09.25	Gainsborough Trinity - Warrington Town	2:0 ✺
English FA Cup
30.08.25	Warrington Town - Bamber Bridge	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 LTTLL

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