Match Info

Division 1 - Norra - Round 21

Date: 12 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Danderyd IP (Stocksund)

Where to Watch on TV:


Sweden	Ettan Play


	Stocksund		Karlstad

	1	X	2
				Watch
	4.00	4.00	1.61
	4.20	3.80	1.63
	4.18	4.32	1.65
	4.12	4.37	1.67	Watch
	4.05	4.25	1.63
	4.21	4.15	1.61
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.13 ↓ (4.32)	4.15 ↑ (3.98)	1.63 (1.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stocksund
22.1%

Draw
22%

Karlstad
55.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.1%

22.9%

55.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.9%

21.6%

59.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stocksund has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

The chances for Karlstad have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stocksund than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Karlstad than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

Stocksund - Karlstad Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Strindlund V. (G) 5. Boto D. 2. Floric A. 6. Lager S. 4. Magnusson B. 13. Mougnol E. 7. Rauf Y. 15. Royo C. 8. Sibeene J. 9. Wagberg N. (C) 11. Wennerlind L.	27. Kocys T. (G) 8. Bark A. 7. Bellman H. 11. Bengtsson J. 28. Djerlek A. 14. Hook I. 22. Kack Ofordu K. 15. Maasland L. 19. Nilsson King E. (C) 23. Rhose L. 6. Zurmati S.
Substitutes
10. Engstrom K. 17. Hussein D. 3. Jonsson C. 14. Mihajlovic L. 31. Rhawi J. (G) 19. Sanoko J. 12. Selfven C.	17. Jatta N. 1. Karlsson M. (G) 12. Miguel W. 16. Modou F. 24. Nfansu D. 26. Tagoe B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
16', 0 - 1, Bengtsson J. ⚽,
28', 🟨,
32', 1 - 1, ⚽,
40', 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
53', 🟨,
64', 2 - 1, ⚽,
73', 🟥,
73', 🟨,
82', 🟨,
90+4', 🟨,
90+5', 🟨,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 3).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Stocksund won 1.

Stocksund has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Karlstad is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Karlstad may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Karlstad is seen as the favorite.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Stocksund won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 7:17. (average 1:2.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Stocksund won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:8. (average 1.7:2.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Karlstad	25	11	8	6	37:25	12	41
16	Stocksund	25	3	6	16	45:61	-16	15

Last Results with these Odds

Stocksund - the odds 4.32 are the expected chance of winning is 21.13%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- IFK Stocksund
Swedish Division 1 Norra
04.09.26	Assyriska Föreningen - Stocksund	2:1 ✺
29.08.26	Stocksund - Arlanda	2:3 ✺
23.08.26	Vasalund - Stocksund	4:3 ✺
15.08.26	Karlberg - Stocksund	2:0 ✺
08.08.26	Stocksund - Gefle	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LLLLW
- IF Karlstad
Swedish Division 1 Norra
05.09.26	Karlstad - AFC Eskilstuna	1:2 ✺
29.08.26	Gefle - Karlstad	2:2 ✺
22.08.26	Sollentuna - Karlstad	2:1 ✺
Svenska Cupen
18.08.26	Karlstad - Sandviken	0:2 ✺
Swedish Division 1 Norra
15.08.26	Karlstad - Assyriska Föreningen	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Division 1 Norra
14.05.26	Karlstad - Stocksund	1:0
16.08.25	Stocksund - Karlstad	1:4
11.05.25	Karlstad - Stocksund	4:1
28.09.24	Stocksund - Karlstad	4:1
18.05.24	Karlstad - Stocksund	2:1
12.11.23	Karlstad - Stocksund	2:0
01.04.23	Stocksund - Karlstad	0:3

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