Match Info

Division 1 - Norra - Round 23

Date: 20 September 2026, Sunday

Location: Danderyd IP (Stocksund)

Where to Watch on TV:


Sweden	Ettan Play


	Stocksund		Umeå

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.60	3.70	2.15
	2.65	3.65	2.2
	2.68	4.01	2.24	Watch
	2.55	3.75	2.17
	2.67	3.74	2.16	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.63 ↓ (2.67)	3.77 ↑ (3.75)	2.18 ↑ (2.16)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stocksund
34.5%

Draw
24%

Umeå
41.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.9%

24.1%

42%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33%

23.5%

43.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stocksund has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Umeå has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stocksund than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Umeå than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

Stocksund - Umeå Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Strindlund V. (G) 10. Boto D. 2. Floric A. 8. Lager S. 3. Magnusson B. 13. Mougnol E. 7. Rauf Y. 6. Royo C. 5. Vogele M. 9. Wagberg N. 11. Wennerlind L.	1. Eriksson P. (G) 16. Bawa Z. 26. Ekman D. 33. Essombe Mambingo J. 17. Forsman S. 8. Godwin F. 9. Hadad R. 2. Linden N. 25. Njie M. 15. Wagnsson S. 12. Yeboah E.
Substitutes
19. Engstrom K. 17. Hussein D. 14. Jonsson C. 4. Mihajlovic L. 31. Rhawi J. (G) 16. Romano L. 12. Selfven C.	20. Hassan H. 23. Johansson I. 22. Lindgren T. 35. Pihlblad L. (G) 7. Sandstrom A. 19. Shakir A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
32', Hadad R. ↓, Johansson I. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
54', 0 - 1, Yeboah E. ⚽,
63', Floric A. 🟨,
67', Vogele M. ↓, Selfven C. ↑,
67', Forsman S. ↓, Hassan H. ↑,
68', Njie M. ↓, Shakir A. ↑,
73', Royo C. ↓, Engstrom K. ↑,
80', 0 - 2, Linden N. ⚽,
81', Yeboah E. ↓, Lindgren T. ↑,
81', Linden N. ↓, Sandstrom A. ↑,
85', Wagberg N. ↓, Hussein D. ↑,
89', 0 - 3, Bawa Z. ⚽,

Preview

A team fighting near the bottom hosts a mid-table side in a match full of urgency (ranked 16th in the Relegation and 11th).

Stocksund is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Umeå is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Umeå could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

In the last 5 head-to-head meetings, Stocksund has recorded 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 10:11 (averaging 2:2.2 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Stocksund against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with 1:2 goals (averaging 0.5:1 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Umea FC	25	9	5	11	34:41	-7	32
16	Stocksund	25	3	6	16	45:61	-16	15

Last Results with these Odds

Stocksund - the odds 2.67 are the expected chance of winning is 33.89%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Umeå - the odds 2.16 are the expected chance of winning is 41.99%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- IFK Stocksund
Swedish Division 1 Norra
17.09.26	Stockholm Internazionale - Stocksund	5:2 ✺
12.09.26	Stocksund - Karlstad	2:1 ✺
04.09.26	Assyriska Föreningen - Stocksund	2:1 ✺
29.08.26	Stocksund - Arlanda	2:3 ✺
23.08.26	Vasalund - Stocksund	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 LWLLL
- Umeå FC
Swedish Division 1 Norra
16.09.26	Piteå - Umeå	0:2 ✺
13.09.26	Umeå - Stockholm Internazionale	0:4 ✺
06.09.26	Arlanda - Umeå	1:2 ✺
30.08.26	Umeå - Vasalund	3:2 ✺
23.08.26	Umeå - Enköping	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 WLWWT

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Division 1 Norra
31.05.26	Umeå - Stocksund	2:2
01.09.24	Stocksund - Umeå	1:1
09.05.24	Umeå - Stocksund	4:2
10.09.23	Umeå - Stocksund	3:5
04.06.23	Stocksund - Umeå	0:1

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