Match Info

ENGLAND: NPL Premier Division - Round 34

Date: 1 March 2025, Saturday


	Stockton Town		Basford United

	1	X	2
	1.62	3.9	4.4
	1.64	4.21	4.41
	1.65	4.07	4.66
	1.62	3.75	4.5
	1.57	3.88	4.91
	1.62	3.9	4.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.62 ↑ (1.39)	3.95 ↓ (4.7)	4.55 ↓ (5.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stockton Town
56.6%

Draw
23.2%

Basford United
20.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.2%

19.3%

15.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.4%

19%

15.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stockton Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Stockton Town's form might have worsened.

Basford United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stockton Town than the current prediction. (+9.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Stockton Town, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Basford United than the current prediction. (-5%)

Stockton Town - Basford United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
18', 1 - 0, Hayes K. (Pen),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
90+2', 1 - 1, Uveges J. ⚽,

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL Premier Division (Play Offs: ) and 20 in the zone Relegation).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Stockton Town could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Stockton Town have a series of guest games.

In this match Stockton Town is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Stockton Town won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stockton Town
English NPL Premier Division
22.02.25	Matlock Town - Stockton Town	2:3 ✺
18.02.25	Ilkeston - Stockton Town	1:2 ✺
15.02.25	Mickleover Sports - Stockton Town	1:0 ✺
08.02.25	Stockton Town - Warrington Rylands	1:3 ✺
04.02.25	Blyth Spartans - Stockton Town	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WWLLW
- Basford United
English NPL Premier Division
22.02.25	Basford United - Warrington Rylands	1:1 ✺
15.02.25	Basford United - Matlock Town	2:1 ✺
08.02.25	Bamber Bridge - Basford United	1:0 ✺
01.02.25	Basford United - Blyth Spartans	3:1 ✺
25.01.25	Macclesfield Town - Basford United	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 TWLWL

Latest Head to Head

English NPL Premier Division
12.11.24	Basford United - Stockton Town	2:1

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