The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Basford United 33.5%
Draw 25.5%
Matlock Town 41%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
44.3%
25.2%
30.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
45.6%
24.5%
29.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Basford United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Basford United's form might have worsened.
Matlock Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Matlock Town's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Basford United than the current prediction. (+12.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Basford United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Matlock Town than the current prediction. (-11.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Matlock Town, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Basford United - Matlock Town Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
8', 1 - 0, Hudson T. ⚽,
41', 2 - 0, James R. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
84', 2 - 1, Gibson M. ⚽,
Preview
In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 17).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Basford won 1.
The competitors look crappy now.
The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
Last 12 head-to-head matches Basford won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 17:18 (average 1.4:1.5).
Including matches at home between the teams Basford won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 8:5 (average 1.6:1).