Match Info

NPL Premier Division - Round 35

Date: 14 March 2026, Saturday


	Ilkeston		Stockton Town

	1	X	2
	2.78	3.35	2.2
	2.73	3.44	2.27
	2.75	3.76	2.27	Watch
	2.75	3.1	2.25
	2.78	3.34	2.26
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.76 ↓ (2.82)	3.4 ↓ (3.52)	2.25 ↓ (2.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ilkeston
32.9%

Draw
26.7%

Stockton Town
40.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.9%

26.4%

40.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.7%

25.4%

42.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Ilkeston have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Stockton Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ilkeston than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stockton Town than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

Ilkeston - Stockton Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
35', 0 - 1, Scott J. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 11 and 6).

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Stockton Town may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Ilkeston won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:3. (average 1.7:1).

Including home match between the teams, Ilkeston won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
16	Stockton	12	3	2	7	15:22	-7	11
21	Ilkeston	12	2	1	9	7:26	-19	7

Last Results with these Odds

Ilkeston - the odds 2.82 are the expected chance of winning is 32.92%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ilkeston FC
English NPL Premier Division
28.02.26	Ilkeston - Hebburn Town	3:2 ✺
21.02.26	Warrington Rylands - Ilkeston	3:1 ✺
14.02.26	Ilkeston - Guiseley	1:0 ✺
07.02.26	Workington - Ilkeston	1:0 ✺
31.01.26	Ilkeston - Leek Town	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WLWLL
- Stockton Town
English NPL Premier Division
07.03.26	Stockton Town - United of Manchester	2:3 ✺
28.02.26	Leek Town - Stockton Town	0:0 ✺
21.02.26	Ashton United - Stockton Town	1:2 ✺
10.02.26	Stockton Town - Prescot Cables	3:1 ✺
07.02.26	Bamber Bridge - Stockton Town	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LTWWT

Latest Head to Head

English NPL Premier Division
01.11.25	Stockton Town - Ilkeston	0:4
22.03.25	Stockton Town - Ilkeston	1:0
18.02.25	Ilkeston - Stockton Town	1:2

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