Match Info

Women's National League North - Round 16

Date: 18 February 2026, Wednesday


	Stoke City		Derby County

	1	X	2
	1.21	5.69	7.9
	1.25	5.7	8.31	Watch
	1.25	5	9.5
	1.21	5.55	10.4
	1.25	5.75	8.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.23 ↑ (1.2)	5.54 ↓ (5.87)	8.92 ↓ (10.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stoke City
73.5%

Draw
16.4%

Derby County
10.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

76.1%

15.6%

8.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stoke City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Derby County has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Stoke City - Derby County Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

(1 - 1)

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 4 and 10).

Derby may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Stoke is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Stoke won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:3. (average 2.5:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Stoke won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:2. (average 2.7:0.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Stoke City LFC W	6	3	2	1	13:5	8	11
9	Derby W	6	2	0	4	6:11	-5	6

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stoke City LFC
English National League North Women
08.02.26	Hull City - Stoke City	1:3 ✺
18.01.26	Stoke City - Halifax FC	4:0 ✺
30.11.25	Liverpool Feds - Stoke City	2:3 ✺
English FA Cup Women
21.11.25	Wolverhampton Wanderers - Stoke City	2:0 ✺
English National League North Women
16.11.25	Stoke City - Rugby Borough	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WWWLL
- Derby County Women
English National League North Women
15.02.26	Halifax FC - Derby County	2:2 ✺
08.02.26	Derby County - Middlesbrough	0:4 ✺
18.01.26	Loughborough Lightning - Derby County	0:1 ✺
English FA Cup Women
14.12.25	Derby County - Sunderland	1:5 ✺
English National League North Women
30.11.25	Derby County - Wolverhampton Wanderers	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 TLWLL

Latest Head to Head

English National League North Women
29.10.25	Derby County - Stoke City	1:2
12.02.25	Stoke City - Derby County	4:1
13.03.24	Stoke City - Derby County	2:0
English FA Cup Women
13.11.22	Stoke City - Derby County	2:1 penalties

Stoke City - Derby County: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide