The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Stoke City U21 40%
Draw 20.9%
Newcastle United U21 39.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
51.8%
20.7%
27.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
53.1%
20.2%
26.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Stoke City U21 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Stoke City U21's form might have worsened.
Newcastle United U21 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Newcastle United U21's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stoke City U21 than the current prediction. (+13.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Stoke City U21, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Newcastle United U21 than the current prediction. (-12.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Newcastle United U21, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Stoke City U21 - Newcastle United U21 Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Simkin T. (G) 4. Anderson F. 14. Bickerton J. 5. Dixon J. 7. Griffiths J. 9. Jeffers R. 11. Jojic N. 10. Lipsiuc D. . McGuinness D. 2. Mears J. 6. Smith W.
1. Harris A. (G) 3. Charlton D. 11. Diallo A. 10. Harrison A. 5. Heffernan C. (C) 6. Miley J. 2. Shahar L. 8. Stanton E. 9. Stephenson D. 4. Thompson C. 7. Turner-Cooke J.
Substitutes
. Fearn 15. Grogan C. 3. Gyimah N. . Kelly J. 13. Morris S. (G)
13. Brown W. (G) 16. Crossley K. 15. De Bolle L. 14. Hackett J. 12. McArthur C.
Coaches
Morris A.
Dawson B.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 2)
10', 0 - 1, Stephenson D. ⚽,
12', 0 - 2, Stanton E. ⚽, Harrison A. (A),
21', Miley J. ↓, De Bolle L. ↑,
28', 1 - 2, Griffiths J. ⚽, Jojic N. (A),
37', Mears J. 🟨,
42', Stanton E. 🟨,
45', Simkin T. 🟥,
45+1', Jojic N. ↓, Morris S. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
68', Dixon J. 🟥,
69', Jeffers R. ↓, Grogan C. ↑,
75', Stanton E. ↓, McArthur C. ↑,
80', Lipsiuc D. ↓, Gartside-Kelly G. ↑,
Preview
Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 17 and 25).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Stoke U21 won 3.
Stoke U21 is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Recent matches Newcastle U21 is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Stoke U21 could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
Stoke U21 will have a poor advantage in this game.
Last 7 head-to-head matches Stoke U21 won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 14-8.
Including matches at home between the teams Stoke U21 won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-4.
Watch
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Simkin T. (G) 
Jojic N. 
Lipsiuc D. 
Charlton D. 
Fearn 
Morris S. (G) 
De Bolle L. 
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