Match Info

Date: 27 September 2021, Monday 🏁 Finished


	Stoke City U23		Aston Villa U23

	1	X	2
	2.37	3.8	2.25
	2.35	3.5	2.5
	2.15	3.65	2.55
	2.35	3.73	2.61
	1.91	4	3.1
	2.3	3.92	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.24 ↑ (1.83)	3.77 ↑ (3.54)	2.59 ↓ (3.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stoke City U23
40.7%

Draw
24.2%

Aston Villa U23
35.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

48.7%

25.2%

26.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42%

21.8%

36.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stoke City U23 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Stoke City U23's form might have worsened.

Aston Villa U23 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Aston Villa U23's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stoke City U23 than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aston Villa U23 than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Stoke City U23 - Aston Villa U23 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 7 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League 2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs)).

Recent matches Stoke U23 is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Aston Villa U23 is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Aston Villa U23 could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Stoke U23 will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Stoke U23 won 6 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 19-15.

Including matches at home between the teams Stoke U23 won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 8-11.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stoke City U23
English Premier League 2
20.09.21	Newcastle Utd U23 - Stoke City U23	2:3 ✺
13.09.21	Middlesbrough U23 - Stoke City U23	2:0 ✺
English Premier League Cup
10.09.21	Stoke City U23 - Colchester United U23	2:4 ✺
English Premier League 2
29.08.21	Stoke City U23 - Reading U23	1:2 ✺
20.08.21	Norwich City U23 - Stoke City U23	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WLLLW
- Aston Villa U23
English Premier League 2
17.09.21	Aston Villa U23 - West Bromwich Albion U23	4:2 ✺
10.09.21	Norwich City U23 - Aston Villa U23	4:2 ✺
27.08.21	Aston Villa U23 - Fulham U23	1:1 ✺
20.08.21	Middlesbrough U23 - Aston Villa U23	1:2 ✺
13.08.21	Aston Villa U23 - Nottingham Forest U23	5:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 WLTWW

Latest Head to Head

English Premier League 2
19.03.21	Aston Villa U23 - Stoke City U23	3:4
23.11.20	Stoke City U23 - Aston Villa U23	0:2
16.09.19	Stoke City U23 - Aston Villa U23	2:0
17.12.18	Stoke City U23 - Aston Villa U23	3:2
14.09.18	Aston Villa U23 - Stoke City U23	0:3
02.04.18	Stoke City U23 - Aston Villa U23	1:3
21.08.17	Aston Villa U23 - Stoke City U23	1:2

Stoke City U23 - Aston Villa U23

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Stoke City U23 - Aston Villa U23 Predictions

Preview

Form

Latest Head to Head

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