Match Info

POLAND: III LIGA - GROUP II - ROUND 12

Date: 14 October 2023, Saturday


	Swit Skolwin		Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce

	1	X	2
	1.58	3.9	4.33
	1.61	3.88	4.25
	1.6	3.94	4.5	Watch
	1.58	4.15	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.59 ↑ (1.55)	3.97 ↓ (4.5)	4.32 ↑ (4.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 10.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Swit Skolwin
56.5%

Draw
22.7%

Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce
20.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.2%

20%

21.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.1%

19.1%

20.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Swit Skolwin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Swit Skolwin than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Swit Skolwin - Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

One of the most exciting matches of the day will feature two top-of-the-table teams (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 2 and 5).

Swit Skolwin in the latest game got a series victories and it is in a perfect shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Swit Skolwin is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Swit Skolwin to win the game is with odds 1.59.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Swit Skolwin won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Swit Skolwin won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Swit Skolwin
Polish Division 3 - Group II
06.10.23	Starogard Gdański - Swit Skolwin	0:1 ✺
01.10.23	Swit Skolwin - Pogoń Szczecin II	3:1 ✺
23.09.23	Cartusia Kartuzy - Swit Skolwin	0:1 ✺
15.09.23	Swit Skolwin - Unia Swarzędz	3:1 ✺
09.09.23	Flota Świnoujście - Swit Skolwin	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.4 WWWWW
- Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce
Polish Division 3 - Group II
07.10.23	Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce - Polonia Środa Wielkopolska	3:3 ✺
30.09.23	Vineta Wolin - Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce	0:1 ✺
23.09.23	Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce - Zawisza Bydgoszcz	2:2 ✺
16.09.23	Błękitni Stargard Szczeciński - Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce	0:1 ✺
09.09.23	Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce - Stolem Gniewino	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 TWTWT

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group II
06.05.23	Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce - Swit Skolwin	4:2
30.09.22	Swit Skolwin - Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce	6:0
09.04.22	Swit Skolwin - Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce	1:1
04.09.21	Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce - Swit Skolwin	0:0

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