Match Info

POLAND: III LIGA - GROUP II - ROUND 10

Date: 1 October 2023, Sunday

Location: Zdzisław Krzyszkowiak Stadium (Bydgoszcz)


	Zawisza Bydgoszcz		Stolem Gniewino

	1	X	2
	1.25	5.5	8
	1.28	5.32	7.09
	1.26	5.35	8.2	Watch
	1.36	5.25	5.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.29 ↓ (1.35)	5.36 ↑ (5.05)	7.17 ↑ (5.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 10.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zawisza Bydgoszcz
70.4%

Draw
16.9%

Stolem Gniewino
12.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.8%

17.9%

15.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.1%

12.6%

21.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zawisza Bydgoszcz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

Stolem Gniewino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zawisza Bydgoszcz than the current prediction. (-23.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Zawisza Bydgoszcz that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stolem Gniewino than the current prediction. (+9.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Stolem Gniewino could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Zawisza Bydgoszcz - Stolem Gniewino Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 7 and 15).

Recent matches Zawisza is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Stolem Gniewino has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Zawisza could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Zawisza is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Zawisza won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Zawisza won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Zawisza Bydgoszcz
Polish Cup
26.09.23	Start 1944 Krasnystaw - Zawisza Bydgoszcz	0:4 ✺
Polish Division 3 - Group II
23.09.23	Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce - Zawisza Bydgoszcz	2:2 ✺
16.09.23	Zawisza Bydgoszcz - Starogard Gdański	6:0 ✺
10.09.23	Pogoń Szczecin II - Zawisza Bydgoszcz	1:1 ✺
02.09.23	Zawisza Bydgoszcz - Cartusia Kartuzy	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WTWTL
- Stolem Gniewino
Polish Division 3 - Group II
23.09.23	Stolem Gniewino - Błękitni Stargard Szczeciński	0:6 ✺
16.09.23	Sokół Kleczew - Stolem Gniewino	2:0 ✺
09.09.23	Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce - Stolem Gniewino	1:1 ✺
02.09.23	Stolem Gniewino - Starogard Gdański	2:3 ✺
27.08.23	Pogoń Szczecin II - Stolem Gniewino	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 LLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group II
27.05.23	Zawisza Bydgoszcz - Stolem Gniewino	0:2
29.10.22	Stolem Gniewino - Zawisza Bydgoszcz	0:0
21.05.22	Stolem Gniewino - Zawisza Bydgoszcz	1:1
16.10.21	Zawisza Bydgoszcz - Stolem Gniewino	2:0

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