Match Info

III Liga - Group I - Round 27

Date: 27 April 2025, Sunday

Location: Stadion OSiR (Olsztyn)


	Stomil Olsztyn		Polonia Lidzbark Warmiński

	1	X	2
	2.4	3.5	2.37
	2.34	3.45	2.6
	2.52	3.19	2.52
	2.39	3.46	2.63
	2.34	3.26	2.8	Watch
	2.34	3.45	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.39 ↓ (2.4)	3.39 ↓ (3.6)	2.59 ↑ (2.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stomil Olsztyn
38%

Draw
26.8%

Polonia Lidzbark Warmiński
35.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.5%

25%

37.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.7%

24.9%

37.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stomil Olsztyn has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Polonia Lidzbark Warmiński has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stomil Olsztyn than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Polonia Lidzbark Warmiński than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

Stomil Olsztyn - Polonia Lidzbark Warmiński Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
42', 1 - 0, Fronczak J. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
71', 1 - 1, Szalkowski S. ⚽,

Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 17 in the zone Relegation).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Stomil won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:1

Last Results with these Odds

Stomil Olsztyn - the odds 2.4 are the expected chance of winning is 37.5%, but this team recently wins 11% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stomil Olsztyn
Polish Division 3 - Group I
17.04.25	Legia II - Stomil Olsztyn	1:1 ✺
12.04.25	Stomil Olsztyn - Sokół Aleksandrów Łódzki	2:1 ✺
29.03.25	Stomil Olsztyn - Mławianka Mława	0:1 ✺
21.03.25	Wikielec - Stomil Olsztyn	2:2 ✺
16.03.25	Stomil Olsztyn - Broń Radom	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.5 TWLTW
- Polonia Lidzbark Warmiński
Polish Division 3 - Group I
19.04.25	GKS Bełchatów - Polonia Lidzbark Warmiński	0:0 ✺
12.04.25	Polonia Lidzbark Warmiński - Legia II	1:1 ✺
05.04.25	Sokół Aleksandrów Łódzki - Polonia Lidzbark Warmiński	0:1 ✺
29.03.25	Polonia Lidzbark Warmiński - Wigry Suwałki	0:0 ✺
22.03.25	Mławianka Mława - Polonia Lidzbark Warmiński	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 TTWTT

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group I
28.09.24	Polonia Lidzbark Warmiński - Stomil Olsztyn	1:1

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