Match Info

Southern League Premier Central - Round 5

Date: 29 August 2026, Saturday


	Halesowen Town		Real Bedford

	1	X	2
	4.00	3.70	1.66
	3.90	3.75	1.68
	3.86	4.15	1.69
	4.19	4.32	1.67	Watch
	3.80	4.10	1.67
	4.51	4.06	1.66
	4.10	3.95	1.67
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.05 ↑ (2.67)	4 ↑ (3.55)	1.67 ↓ (2.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Halesowen Town
22.5%

Draw
22.8%

Real Bedford
54.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.1%

25.6%

40.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.3%

25%

41.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Halesowen Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Halesowen Town's form might have worsened.

Real Bedford has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Real Bedford's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Halesowen Town than the current prediction. (+10.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Halesowen Town, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Bedford than the current prediction. (-13.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Real Bedford, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Halesowen Town - Real Bedford Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 2)
58', 0 - 1, Kiala C. ⚽,
61', 0 - 2, Allen J. ⚽,

Preview

Halesowen has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Real Bedford is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Recently, Halesowen has had a series of home games.

In this match, Real Bedford is the team to beat.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Halesowen won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 2:2).

Including home match between the teams, Halesowen won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2.

Outrights of English Southern League Central Division for now

Real Bedford: 26.3% Halesowen: 1.52%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Real Bedford	9	9	0	0	29:10	19	27
10	Halesowen	7	4	0	3	8:8	0	12

Last Results with these Odds

Halesowen Town - the odds 2.67 are the expected chance of winning is 34.06%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.

Real Bedford - the odds 2.26 are the expected chance of winning is 40.33%, but this team recently wins 75% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Halesowen Town
English Southern League Central Division
22.08.26	Needham Market - Halesowen Town	0:1 ✺
15.08.26	Halesowen Town - Bishops Stortford	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
28.07.26	Halesowen Town - Stourbridge	3:3 ✺
25.07.26	Halesowen Town - Tamworth	2:2 ✺
18.07.26	Halesowen Town - Kidderminster Harriers	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WWTTL
- Real Bedford
English Southern League Central Division
22.08.26	Real Bedford - Stratford Town	6:1 ✺
15.08.26	Banbury United - Real Bedford	1:3 ✺
11.08.26	Peterborough Sports - Real Bedford	0:2 ✺
Club Friendly
28.07.26	Real Bedford - St Albans City	4:4 ✺
14.07.26	Real Bedford - Boreham Wood	2:8 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WWWTL

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League Central Division
28.03.26	Real Bedford - Halesowen Town	2:1
16.08.25	Halesowen Town - Real Bedford	3:2

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