Match Info

Date: 21 July 2021, Wednesday


	Strømmen		Fredrikstad

	1	X	2
	3.75	3.6	1.9
	3.3	3.4	1.95
	3.65	3.65	1.9	Watch
	3.65	3.45	1.91
	3.93	3.71	1.96
	3.75	3.4	1.88
	3.58	3.62	1.99	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.66 ↓ (3.99)	3.55 ↓ (3.68)	1.93 ↑ (1.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Strømmen
25.4%

Draw
26.2%

Fredrikstad
48.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.3%

25.2%

51.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.6%

20.2%

64.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Strømmen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Fredrikstad has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Strømmen than the current prediction. (-6.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Strømmen that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fredrikstad than the current prediction. (+16.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Fredrikstad could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Strømmen - Fredrikstad Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 14 in the zone OBOS~ligaen (Relegation) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Eliteserien).

Recent matches Strømmen is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Fredrikstad is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Fredrikstad could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Fredrikstad is a favorite.

Last 12 head-to-head matches Strømmen won 4 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 19-16.

Including matches at home between the teams Strømmen won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Strømmen IF
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
17.07.21	Ullensaker Kisa - Strømmen	0:0 ✺
12.07.21	Strømmen - Stjørdals-Blink	1:2 ✺
05.07.21	Sogndal - Strømmen	1:1 ✺
02.07.21	Strømmen - Start	2:1 ✺
27.06.21	KFUM-Kameratene Oslo - Strømmen	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.5 TLTWT
- Fredrikstad FK
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
18.07.21	Fredrikstad - Bryne	3:1 ✺
12.07.21	Raufoss - Fredrikstad	0:1 ✺
05.07.21	Fredrikstad - KFUM-Kameratene Oslo	2:1 ✺
02.07.21	Ranheim - Fredrikstad	1:1 ✺
27.06.21	Fredrikstad - Grorud	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WWWTT

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
28.04.21	Fredrikstad - Strømmen	2:1
17.03.19	Fredrikstad - Strømmen	3:4
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
30.07.17	Fredrikstad - Strømmen	1:1
04.06.17	Strømmen - Fredrikstad	4:1
19.09.16	Fredrikstad - Strømmen	2:1
10.04.16	Strømmen - Fredrikstad	0:0
Club Friendly
27.02.16	Fredrikstad - Strømmen	1:1

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