Match Info

NORWAY: NM Cup - 1/8-finals

Date: 8 May 2024, Wednesday

Location: NAMMO Stadion (Raufoss)


	Raufoss		Fredrikstad

	1	X	2
	5.25	4.33	1.53
	5.25	3.8	1.5
	5.5	4.2	1.53
	5.77	4.3	1.51
	5.77	4.3	1.52
	5.8	4	1.44
	6	4.33	1.53
	5.4	4.1	1.52
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.59 ↑ (4.85)	4.17 ↑ (3.95)	1.51 ↓ (1.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Raufoss
16.5%

Draw
22.2%

Fredrikstad
61.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.7%

23%

58.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.8%

21.9%

61.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Raufoss has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Fredrikstad has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Raufoss than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fredrikstad than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Raufoss - Fredrikstad Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Lauvli O. (G) 22. Fors V. 2. Hansen A. 3. Engebakken T. 14. Haruna J. 16. Orsahl J. 6. Emsis E. 17. Nordbo S. 4. Lynum J. 7. Osterud A. 20. Ampofo J.	30. Fischer J. (G) 5. Rafn S. 26. Nielsen M. 3. Skaret B. 22. Woledzi M. 18. Begby L. 10. Bjorlo M. 19. Magnusson J. 7. Hendriksson B. 13. Sorlokk S. 9. Johansen H.
Substitutes
21. Agyeman Y. 19. Fagernes M. 9. Hustad E. 28. Jensen P. (G) 8. Nelson R. 29. Ronningen T. 5. Rotihaug O. 27. Sangnes O. 18. Somesi K.	29. Aga O. 6. Aukland P. 14. Bjartalid J. 20. Kjaer J. 17. Kvile S. 25. Langbraten O. (G) 12. Metcalfe P. 4. Molde S. 23. Segberg E.
Coaches
Walemark J.	Thomassen M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 2)
11', 0 - 1, Johansen H. ⚽, Hendriksson B. (A),
13', 1 - 1, Engebakken T. ⚽,
24', 1 - 2, Sorlokk S. ⚽, Hendriksson B. (A),
28', 2 - 2, Nordbo S. ⚽, Ampofo J. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Nielsen M. ↓, Kvile S. ↑,
46', Woledzi M. ↓, Aukland P. ↑,
46', Begby L. ↓, Molde S. ↑,
49', 2 - 3, Hendriksson B. ⚽, Molde S. (A),
58', Johansen H. ↓, Aga O. ↑,
62', Orsahl J. ↓, Rotihaug O. ↑,
62', Lynum J. ↓, Nelson R. ↑,
76', Osterud A. ↓, Fagernes M. ↑,
76', Nordbo S. ↓, Somesi K. ↑,
83', Ampofo J. ↓, Agyeman Y. ↑,
85', Emsis E. 🟨,
87', Hendriksson B. (Pen),
87', Walemark J. 🟨,
89', Bjorlo M. ↓, Metcalfe P. ↑,
90+1', Fagernes M. 🟨,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Raufoss won 2.

Raufoss is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Fredrikstad in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Raufoss could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Fredrikstad is a favorite.

Last 12 head-to-head matches Raufoss won 4 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 15-15.

Including matches at home between the teams Raufoss won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Raufoss Fotball
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
04.05.24	Raufoss - Åsane	1:0 ✺
Norwegian NM Cup
01.05.24	Ranheim - Raufoss	1:2 ✺
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
27.04.24	Aalesunds - Raufoss	1:4 ✺
Norwegian NM Cup
23.04.24	Skeid - Raufoss	1:2 ✺
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
20.04.24	Raufoss - Bryne	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.1 WWWWL
- Fredrikstad FK
Norwegian Eliteserien
05.05.24	Odd - Fredrikstad	0:2 ✺
Norwegian NM Cup
01.05.24	Fredrikstad - Rosenborg	1:0 ✺
Norwegian Eliteserien
28.04.24	Fredrikstad - Sandefjord	1:0 ✺
Norwegian NM Cup
25.04.24	Eik-Tønsberg - Fredrikstad	2:5 ✺
Norwegian Eliteserien
21.04.24	Viking Stavanger - Fredrikstad	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.7 WWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Adeccoligaen
01.10.23	Fredrikstad - Raufoss	3:0
04.06.23	Raufoss - Fredrikstad	1:1
05.09.22	Raufoss - Fredrikstad	2:1
27.07.22	Fredrikstad - Raufoss	0:4
02.10.21	Fredrikstad - Raufoss	1:1
12.07.21	Raufoss - Fredrikstad	0:1
Norwegian Division 2 - Group 1
23.09.18	Raufoss - Fredrikstad	3:1

Upcoming Matches